Würth 400
Dover Motor Speedway, May 1, 2023
Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
400
Laps
36
Entries
8
Leaders
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2023 Würth 400 at Dover Motor Speedway on May 1, 2023, leading 68 of 400 laps. Ross Chastain finished second; Ryan Blaney rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Monday, May 1, 2023
Track
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | +16 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 2 | 14 | +12 | Ross Chastain |
| 3 | 3 | — | Ryan Blaney |
| 4 | 8 | +4 | William Byron |
| 5 | 13 | +8 | Denny Hamlin |
| 6 | 2 | -4 | Christopher Bell |
| 7 | 7 | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 8 | 4 | -4 | Brad Keselowski |
| 9 | 5 | -4 | Chris Buescher |
| 10 | 23 | +13 | Josh Berry |
| 11 | 10 | -1 | Chase Elliott |
| 12 | 28 | +16 | Bubba Wallace |
| 13 | 24 | +11 | Ty Gibbs |
| 14 | 27 | +13 | Corey LaJoie |
| 15 | 9 | -6 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 16 | 11 | -5 | Erik Jones |
| 17 | 30 | +13 | Ryan Preece |
| 18 | 29 | +11 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 19 | 12 | -7 | Kevin Harvick |
| 20 | 31 | +11 | Harrison Burton |
| 21 | 1 | -20 | Kyle Busch |
| 22 | 32 | +10 | Michael McDowell |
| 23 | 25 | +2 | Justin Haley |
| 24 | 19 | -5 | Aric Almirola |
| 25 | 35 | +10 | Todd Gilliland |
| 26 | 20 | -6 | Austin Cindric |
| 27 | 36 | +9 | Austin Dillon |
| 28 | 21 | -7 | J.J. Yeley |
| 29 | 22 | -7 | B.J. McLeod |
| 30 | 6 | -24 | Chase Briscoe |
| 31 | 26 | -5 | Joey Logano |
| 32 | 18 | -14 | Kyle Larson |
| 33 | 34 | +1 | Brennan Poole |
| 34 | 33 | -1 | Noah Gragson |
| 35 | 15 | -20 | Daniel Suarez |
| 36 | 16 | -20 | Ty Dillon |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Byron | 1 | 2 | — | 19 |
| Ross Chastain | 5 | 1 | — | 16 |
| Ryan Blaney | 3 | 3 | — | 16 |
| Denny Hamlin | 2 | 5 | — | 15 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 9 | 4 | — | 9 |
| Chris Buescher | 6 | 7 | — | 9 |
| Brad Keselowski | 4 | — | — | 7 |
| Christopher Bell | 7 | 10 | — | 5 |
| Ty Gibbs | — | 6 | — | 5 |
| Tyler Reddick | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Kevin Harvick | 8 | — | — | 3 |
| Chase Elliott | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Josh Berry | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Larson | — | — | — | — |
| Brennan Poole | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 32 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.6 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 14.0 | 1 | +13.0 |
| 2 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 2 | +11.8 |
| 3 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 3 | +3.8 |
| 4 | William Byron | 12.0 | 4 | +8.0 |
| 5 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 6 | Christopher Bell | 9.9 | 6 | +3.9 |
| 7 | Tyler Reddick | 8.6 | 7 | +1.6 |
| 8 | Brad Keselowski | 12.6 | 8 | +4.6 |
| 9 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 9 | +1.3 |
| 10 | Josh Berry | 20.1 | 10 | +10.1 |
| 11 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 11 | -2.7 |
| 12 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| 13 | Ty Gibbs | 10.8 | 13 | -2.2 |
| 14 | Corey LaJoie | 24.9 | 14 | +10.9 |
| 15 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.2 | 15 | +5.2 |
| 16 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 16 | +1.7 |
| 17 | Ryan Preece | 10.8 | 17 | -6.2 |
| 18 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 18 | +0.3 |
| 22 | Michael McDowell | 14.7 | 22 | -7.3 |
| 23 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 23 | -1.8 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Martin Truex, Jr.: has 12 career starts at Dover Motor Speedway with a 5.7 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 14 career starts at Dover Motor Speedway with a 15.6 avg finish, finishing P3 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 Würth 400?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2023 Würth 400 at Dover Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2023 Würth 400 held?
The 2023 Würth 400 was held at Dover Motor Speedway on May 1, 2023.