NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race
Phoenix Raceway, November 10, 2024
Joey Logano
Winner
312
Laps
40
Entries
9
Leaders
Joey Logano won the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race at Phoenix Raceway on November 10, 2024, leading 107 of 312 laps. Ryan Blaney finished second; William Byron rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, November 10, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Joey Logano |
| 2 | 17 | +15 | Ryan Blaney |
| 3 | 8 | +5 | William Byron |
| 4 | 4 | — | Kyle Larson |
| 5 | 7 | +2 | Christopher Bell |
| 6 | 10 | +4 | Tyler Reddick |
| 7 | 29 | +22 | Bubba Wallace |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Chase Elliott |
| 9 | 24 | +15 | Chris Buescher |
| 10 | 34 | +24 | Daniel Suarez |
| 11 | 14 | +3 | Denny Hamlin |
| 12 | 21 | +9 | Noah Gragson |
| 13 | 11 | -2 | Austin Cindric |
| 14 | 16 | +2 | Alex Bowman |
| 15 | 27 | +12 | Brad Keselowski |
| 16 | 9 | -7 | Harrison Burton |
| 17 | 1 | -16 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 18 | 15 | -3 | Carson Hocevar |
| 19 | 3 | -16 | Ross Chastain |
| 20 | 32 | +12 | Todd Gilliland |
| 21 | 25 | +4 | Kyle Busch |
| 22 | 19 | -3 | Erik Jones |
| 23 | 22 | -1 | Daniel Hemric |
| 24 | 39 | +15 | Josh Berry |
| 25 | 26 | +1 | Derek Kraus |
| 26 | 23 | -3 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 27 | 36 | +9 | Austin Dillon |
| 28 | 13 | -15 | Justin Haley |
| 29 | 12 | -17 | Chase Briscoe |
| 30 | 18 | -12 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 31 | 35 | +4 | Michael McDowell |
| 32 | 20 | -12 | Corey LaJoie |
| 33 | 30 | -3 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 34 | 31 | -3 | Kaz Grala |
| 35 | 37 | +2 | J.J. Yeley |
| 36 | 38 | +2 | Chad Finchum |
| 37 | 33 | -4 | Ryan Preece |
| 38 | 40 | +2 | Jeb Burton |
| 39 | 28 | -11 | Zane Smith |
| 40 | 6 | -34 | Ty Gibbs |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Bell | 3 | 2 | — | 17 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 2 | 9 | — | 11 |
| Chase Elliott | 5 | 8 | — | 9 |
| Denny Hamlin | 8 | 5 | — | 9 |
| Kyle Larson | 9 | 7 | — | 6 |
| Chris Buescher | — | 6 | — | 5 |
| Austin Cindric | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Joey Logano | 1 | 3 | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | 6 | 1 | — | — |
| William Byron | 4 | 4 | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | 7 | 10 | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Carson Hocevar | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Berry | — | — | — | — |
| Derek Kraus | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Kaz Grala | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Chad Finchum | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Jeb Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Zane Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 35 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.0 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Logano | 10.3 | 1 | +9.3 |
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 2 | +4.8 |
| 3 | William Byron | 10.8 | 3 | +7.8 |
| 4 | Kyle Larson | 10.3 | 4 | +6.3 |
| 5 | Christopher Bell | 8.3 | 5 | +3.3 |
| 6 | Tyler Reddick | 12.0 | 6 | +6.0 |
| 7 | Bubba Wallace | 12.6 | 7 | +5.6 |
| 8 | Chase Elliott | 9.9 | 8 | +1.9 |
| 9 | Chris Buescher | 12.0 | 9 | +3.0 |
| 10 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 10 | +4.0 |
| 11 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 11 | -4.2 |
| 12 | Noah Gragson | 22.1 | 12 | +10.1 |
| 13 | Austin Cindric | 14.0 | 13 | +1.0 |
| 14 | Alex Bowman | 15.6 | 14 | +1.6 |
| 15 | Brad Keselowski | 13.8 | 15 | -1.2 |
| 17 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 14.0 | 17 | -3.0 |
| 18 | Carson Hocevar | 15.6 | 18 | -2.4 |
| 19 | Ross Chastain | 12.6 | 19 | -6.4 |
| 20 | Todd Gilliland | 17.7 | 20 | -2.3 |
| 22 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 22 | -4.3 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Joey Logano: has 22 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 12.5 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 9.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P12 vs predicted P22. Track history: 13 starts, 17.6 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race?
Joey Logano won the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race at Phoenix Raceway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race held?
The 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race was held at Phoenix Raceway on November 10, 2024.