Xfinity 500
Martinsville Speedway — November 3, 2024
Ryan Blaney
Winner
500
Laps
21
Entries
7
Leaders
Ryan Blaney won the 2024 Xfinity 500 at Martinsville Speedway on November 3, 2024, leading 32 of 500 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, November 3, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +8 | Ryan Blaney |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Chase Elliott |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 14 | +10 | Austin Cindric |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | Denny Hamlin |
| 6 | 18 | +12 | William Byron |
| 7 | 28 | +21 | Austin Dillon |
| 8 | 12 | +4 | Ross Chastain |
| 9 | 13 | +4 | Brad Keselowski |
| 10 | 6 | -4 | Joey Logano |
| 11 | 26 | +15 | Noah Gragson |
| 12 | — | — | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 13 | 10 | -3 | Alex Bowman |
| 14 | 22 | +8 | Ryan Preece |
| 15 | 5 | -10 | Chase Briscoe |
| 16 | 7 | -9 | Josh Berry |
| 17 | 36 | +19 | Daniel Hemric |
| 18 | 2 | -16 | Bubba Wallace |
| 19 | 17 | -2 | Erik Jones |
| 20 | 23 | +3 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 24 | 4 | -20 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 1 | 3 | — | 18 |
| Bubba Wallace | 2 | 2 | — | 18 |
| Chase Elliott | 3 | 4 | — | 15 |
| Denny Hamlin | 7 | 1 | — | 14 |
| Joey Logano | 6 | 5 | — | 11 |
| Chase Briscoe | 4 | 7 | — | 11 |
| William Byron | 8 | 8 | — | 6 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 5 | 11 | — | 6 |
| Alex Bowman | 11 | 6 | — | 5 |
| Josh Berry | 9 | 10 | — | 3 |
| Ross Chastain | 13 | 9 | — | 2 |
| Shane van Gisbergen | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 20 matched drivers, the model averaged 5.1 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 1 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 2 | +6.3 |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 3 | +5.6 |
| 4 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 4 | +13.0 |
| 5 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 6 | William Byron | 10.3 | 6 | +4.3 |
| 7 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 7 | +10.0 |
| 8 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 8 | +5.8 |
| 9 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 9 | +3.0 |
| 10 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 10 | +2.1 |
| 11 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 11 | +12.0 |
| 12 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 12 | +6.3 |
| 13 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 13 | +1.0 |
| 14 | Ryan Preece | 10.8 | 14 | -3.2 |
| 15 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 15 | -2.4 |
| 16 | Josh Berry | 19.0 | 16 | +3.0 |
| 18 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 18 | -4.0 |
| 19 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 19 | -1.3 |
| 20 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 20 | +0.1 |
| 24 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 24 | -10.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ryan Blaney: has 30 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 11.7 avg finish (2 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Austin Cindric: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P17. Track history: 13 starts, 16.8 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 Xfinity 500?
Ryan Blaney won the 2024 Xfinity 500 at Martinsville Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2024 Xfinity 500 held?
The 2024 Xfinity 500 was held at Martinsville Speedway on November 3, 2024.