Coke Zero Sugar 400

Daytona International Speedway — August 24, 2024

Harrison Burton
Winner
164
Laps
28
Entries
16
Leaders

Harrison Burton won the 2024 Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway on August 24, 2024, leading 1 of 164 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Christopher Bell rounded out the podium. The race featured 16 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 24, 2024
Season
2024
Leaders
16 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 9 +8 Harrison Burton
2 4 +2 Kyle Busch
3 21 +18 Christopher Bell
4 34 +30 Cody Ware
5 15 +10 Ty Gibbs
6 26 +20 Bubba Wallace
7 Parker Retzlaff
8 13 +5 Brad Keselowski
9 10 +1 Daniel Hemric
10 20 +10 Chris Buescher
11 37 +26 Carson Hocevar
12 27 +15 Ross Chastain
13 39 +26 Zane Smith
14 36 +22 Chase Briscoe
15 29 +14 John Hunter Nemechek
16 23 +7 Alex Bowman
17 30 +13 Erik Jones
18 2 -16 Austin Cindric
19 38 +19 B.J. McLeod
20 Joey Gase
21 12 -9 Kyle Larson
23 3 -20 Todd Gilliland
26 19 -7 Josh Berry
27 16 -11 William Byron
30 1 -29 Michael McDowell
31 6 -25 Joey Logano
32 35 +3 Justin Haley
33 32 -1 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
William Byron 3 5 14
Austin Cindric 9 1 12
Chris Buescher 1 18 10
Kyle Larson 4 9 9
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 2 20 9
Kyle Busch 31 3 8
Christopher Bell 5 28 6
Ross Chastain 7 10 5
Alex Bowman 11 6 5
Bubba Wallace 22 7 4
Chase Briscoe 8 22 3
Parker Retzlaff
Joey Gase
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 25 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.2 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
2 Kyle Busch 15.1 2 +13.1
3 Christopher Bell 17.4 3 +14.4
4 Cody Ware 27.9 4 +23.9
5 Ty Gibbs 22.9 5 +17.9
6 Bubba Wallace 16.0 6 +10.0
8 Brad Keselowski 16.0 8 +8.0
10 Chris Buescher 13.6 10 +3.6
11 Carson Hocevar 19.4 11 +8.4
12 Ross Chastain 17.4 12 +5.4
13 Zane Smith 22.9 13 +9.9
14 Chase Briscoe 21.7 14 +7.7
15 John Hunter Nemechek 20.5 15 +5.5
16 Alex Bowman 15.1 16 -0.9
17 Erik Jones 18.5 17 +1.5
18 Austin Cindric 20.1 18 +2.1
19 B.J. McLeod 25.5 19 +6.5
20 Joey Gase 23.7 20 +3.7
21 Kyle Larson 18.5 21 -2.5
23 Todd Gilliland 22.9 23 -0.1
26 Josh Berry 24.0 26 -2.0

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Harrison Burton: has 13 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 15.4 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Chris Buescher: was the model’s top pick based on 25 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.2 avg finish (1 win), finishing P10 on the day.
  • Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P28. Track history: 12 starts, 21.7 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2024 Coke Zero Sugar 400?
Harrison Burton won the 2024 Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway driving for Wood Brothers Racing.
Where was the 2024 Coke Zero Sugar 400 held?
The 2024 Coke Zero Sugar 400 was held at Daytona International Speedway on August 24, 2024.