Würth 400
Dover Motor Speedway — April 28, 2024
Denny Hamlin
Winner
400
Laps
36
Entries
9
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2024 Würth 400 at Dover Motor Speedway on April 28, 2024, leading 136 of 400 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Martin Truex, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, April 28, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 17 | +14 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 4 | 27 | +23 | Kyle Busch |
| 5 | 13 | +8 | Chase Elliott |
| 6 | 16 | +10 | Noah Gragson |
| 7 | 18 | +11 | Ryan Blaney |
| 8 | 12 | +4 | Alex Bowman |
| 9 | 37 | +28 | Daniel Hemric |
| 10 | 8 | -2 | Ty Gibbs |
| 11 | 6 | -5 | Tyler Reddick |
| 12 | 20 | +8 | Ross Chastain |
| 13 | 28 | +15 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 14 | 2 | -12 | Josh Berry |
| 15 | 10 | -5 | Austin Cindric |
| 16 | 26 | +10 | Joey Logano |
| 17 | 9 | -8 | Chris Buescher |
| 18 | 31 | +13 | Daniel Suarez |
| 19 | 19 | — | Chase Briscoe |
| 20 | 35 | +15 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 21 | 21 | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 22 | — | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 23 | — | — | Michael McDowell |
| 24 | — | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 25 | — | — | Ty Gibbs |
| 26 | — | — | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 27 | — | — | Ryan Preece |
| 28 | — | — | Chase Briscoe |
| 29 | — | — | Daniel Hemric |
| 30 | — | — | Austin Cindric |
| 31 | — | — | Zane Smith |
| 32 | 24 | -8 | Bubba Wallace |
| 33 | 7 | -26 | William Byron |
| 34 | — | — | Kyle Larson |
| 35 | — | — | Kyle Busch |
| 36 | — | — | A.J. Allmendinger |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Reddick | 3 | 2 | — | 17 |
| Denny Hamlin | 2 | 4 | — | 16 |
| Kyle Larson | 4 | 3 | — | 15 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 9 | 7 | — | 6 |
| Chase Elliott | 11 | 6 | — | 5 |
| Ty Gibbs | 6 | 11 | — | 5 |
| Chris Buescher | 8 | 9 | — | 5 |
| William Byron | 7 | 13 | — | 4 |
| Ryan Blaney | 14 | 8 | — | 3 |
| Noah Gragson | 16 | 10 | — | 1 |
| Bubba Wallace | 10 | 27 | — | 1 |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Denny Hamlin | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Zane Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Larson | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 25 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.1 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 1 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 2 | +6.6 |
| 3 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 3 | +10.8 |
| 4 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 4 | +11.6 |
| 5 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 5 | +3.3 |
| 6 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 6 | +17.0 |
| 7 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 7 | -0.2 |
| 8 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 8 | +6.0 |
| 10 | Ty Gibbs | 12.6 | 10 | +2.6 |
| 11 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 11 | -1.1 |
| 12 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 12 | +1.8 |
| 13 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 13 | +5.3 |
| 14 | Josh Berry | 19.0 | 14 | +5.0 |
| 15 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 15 | +2.0 |
| 16 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 16 | -3.9 |
| 17 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 17 | -6.7 |
| 18 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 18 | -2.4 |
| 19 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 19 | -6.4 |
| 20 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.1 | 20 | +0.1 |
| 21 | Corey LaJoie | 24.9 | 21 | +3.9 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 14 career starts at Dover Motor Speedway with a 11.8 avg finish (3 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P23. Track history: 3 starts, 21.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 Würth 400?
Denny Hamlin won the 2024 Würth 400 at Dover Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2024 Würth 400 held?
The 2024 Würth 400 was held at Dover Motor Speedway on April 28, 2024.