Würth 400
Dover Motor Speedway, April 28, 2024
Denny Hamlin
Winner
400
Laps
37
Entries
9
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2024 Würth 400 at Dover Motor Speedway on April 28, 2024, leading 136 of 400 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Martin Truex, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, April 28, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 21 | +19 | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 15 | +12 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 4 | 1 | -3 | Kyle Busch |
| 5 | 29 | +24 | Chase Elliott |
| 6 | 5 | -1 | Noah Gragson |
| 7 | 2 | -5 | Ryan Blaney |
| 8 | 9 | +1 | Alex Bowman |
| 9 | 14 | +5 | Daniel Hemric |
| 10 | 19 | +9 | Ty Gibbs |
| 11 | 4 | -7 | Tyler Reddick |
| 12 | 22 | +10 | Ross Chastain |
| 13 | 10 | -3 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 14 | 12 | -2 | Josh Berry |
| 15 | 11 | -4 | Austin Cindric |
| 16 | 13 | -3 | Joey Logano |
| 17 | 18 | +1 | Chris Buescher |
| 18 | 31 | +13 | Daniel Suarez |
| 19 | 7 | -12 | Chase Briscoe |
| 20 | 34 | +14 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 21 | 25 | +4 | Corey LaJoie |
| 22 | 20 | -2 | Carson Hocevar |
| 23 | 36 | +13 | Justin Haley |
| 24 | 37 | +13 | Zane Smith |
| 25 | 32 | +7 | Corey Heim |
| 26 | 26 | — | Harrison Burton |
| 27 | 23 | -4 | Austin Dillon |
| 28 | 27 | -1 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 29 | 35 | +6 | Kaz Grala |
| 30 | 24 | -6 | Brad Keselowski |
| 31 | 30 | -1 | Todd Gilliland |
| 32 | 16 | -16 | Bubba Wallace |
| 33 | 3 | -30 | William Byron |
| 34 | 33 | -1 | Christopher Bell |
| 35 | 17 | -18 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 36 | 8 | -28 | Michael McDowell |
| 37 | 28 | -9 | Ryan Preece |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 1 | 4 | — | 17 |
| Kyle Larson | 5 | 1 | — | 16 |
| Denny Hamlin | 6 | 3 | — | 13 |
| Alex Bowman | 8 | 2 | — | 12 |
| Tyler Reddick | 3 | 7 | — | 12 |
| Ryan Blaney | 4 | 8 | — | 10 |
| Kyle Busch | 7 | 6 | — | 9 |
| William Byron | 2 | — | — | 9 |
| Chase Elliott | 9 | 5 | — | 8 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 10 | 9 | — | 3 |
| Bubba Wallace | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Berry | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Carson Hocevar | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Zane Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Corey Heim | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Kaz Grala | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Bell | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 33 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.8 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 1 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 9.9 | 2 | +7.9 |
| 3 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 14.0 | 3 | +11.0 |
| 5 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 5 | +3.3 |
| 6 | Noah Gragson | 22.1 | 6 | +16.1 |
| 7 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 7 | -0.2 |
| 8 | Alex Bowman | 15.0 | 8 | +7.0 |
| 10 | Ty Gibbs | 10.8 | 10 | +0.8 |
| 11 | Tyler Reddick | 8.6 | 11 | -2.4 |
| 12 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 12 | +1.8 |
| 13 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 13 | +5.3 |
| 14 | Josh Berry | 20.1 | 14 | +6.1 |
| 15 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 15 | +2.0 |
| 16 | Joey Logano | 12.6 | 16 | -3.4 |
| 17 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 17 | -6.7 |
| 18 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 18 | -2.4 |
| 19 | Chase Briscoe | 12.1 | 19 | -6.9 |
| 20 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.0 | 20 | -1.0 |
| 21 | Corey LaJoie | 24.9 | 21 | +3.9 |
| 22 | Carson Hocevar | 14.0 | 22 | -8.0 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 14 career starts at Dover Motor Speedway with a 9.6 avg finish (4 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P22. Track history: 4 starts, 20.8 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 Würth 400?
Denny Hamlin won the 2024 Würth 400 at Dover Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2024 Würth 400 held?
The 2024 Würth 400 was held at Dover Motor Speedway on April 28, 2024.