Xfinity 500
Martinsville Speedway, November 3, 2024
Ryan Blaney
Winner
500
Laps
37
Entries
7
Leaders
Ryan Blaney won the 2024 Xfinity 500 at Martinsville Speedway on November 3, 2024, leading 32 of 500 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, November 3, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | +13 | Ryan Blaney |
| 2 | 2 | — | Chase Elliott |
| 3 | 9 | +6 | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 24 | +20 | Austin Cindric |
| 5 | 37 | +32 | Denny Hamlin |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | William Byron |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | Austin Dillon |
| 8 | 22 | +14 | Ross Chastain |
| 9 | 18 | +9 | Brad Keselowski |
| 10 | 12 | +2 | Joey Logano |
| 11 | 25 | +14 | Noah Gragson |
| 12 | 29 | +17 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 13 | 7 | -6 | Alex Bowman |
| 14 | 8 | -6 | Ryan Preece |
| 15 | 4 | -11 | Chase Briscoe |
| 16 | 11 | -5 | Josh Berry |
| 17 | 15 | -2 | Daniel Hemric |
| 18 | 19 | +1 | Bubba Wallace |
| 19 | 21 | +2 | Erik Jones |
| 20 | 28 | +8 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 21 | 36 | +15 | Zane Smith |
| 22 | 16 | -6 | Christopher Bell |
| 23 | 20 | -3 | Daniel Suarez |
| 24 | 1 | -23 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 25 | 27 | +2 | Carson Hocevar |
| 26 | 13 | -13 | Todd Gilliland |
| 27 | 33 | +6 | Kaz Grala |
| 28 | 23 | -5 | Kyle Busch |
| 29 | 30 | +1 | Justin Haley |
| 30 | 26 | -4 | Chris Buescher |
| 31 | 32 | +1 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 32 | 5 | -27 | Ty Gibbs |
| 33 | 17 | -16 | Michael McDowell |
| 34 | 31 | -3 | Tyler Reddick |
| 35 | 34 | -1 | Corey LaJoie |
| 36 | 6 | -30 | Harrison Burton |
| 37 | 35 | -2 | Josh Bilicki |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Blaney | 5 | 2 | — | 15 |
| William Byron | 2 | 5 | — | 15 |
| Kyle Larson | 6 | 4 | — | 12 |
| Brad Keselowski | 10 | 1 | — | 11 |
| Chase Elliott | 1 | — | — | 10 |
| Denny Hamlin | — | 3 | — | 8 |
| Ryan Preece | 4 | 10 | — | 8 |
| Chase Briscoe | 3 | — | — | 8 |
| Austin Dillon | 8 | 7 | — | 7 |
| Alex Bowman | 7 | 8 | — | 7 |
| Christopher Bell | — | 6 | — | 5 |
| Joey Logano | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Noah Gragson | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Shane van Gisbergen | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Berry | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Zane Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Carson Hocevar | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Kaz Grala | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 33 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.0 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 1 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 9.9 | 2 | +7.9 |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 10.3 | 3 | +7.3 |
| 4 | Austin Cindric | 14.0 | 4 | +10.0 |
| 5 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 6 | William Byron | 10.8 | 6 | +4.8 |
| 7 | Austin Dillon | 17.7 | 7 | +10.7 |
| 8 | Ross Chastain | 12.6 | 8 | +4.6 |
| 9 | Brad Keselowski | 13.8 | 9 | +4.8 |
| 10 | Joey Logano | 10.3 | 10 | +0.3 |
| 11 | Noah Gragson | 22.1 | 11 | +11.1 |
| 12 | Shane van Gisbergen | 17.0 | 12 | +5.0 |
| 13 | Alex Bowman | 15.6 | 13 | +2.6 |
| 14 | Ryan Preece | 12.6 | 14 | -1.4 |
| 15 | Chase Briscoe | 8.6 | 15 | -6.4 |
| 16 | Josh Berry | 19.0 | 16 | +3.0 |
| 18 | Bubba Wallace | 12.6 | 18 | -5.4 |
| 19 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 19 | -1.3 |
| 20 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.4 | 20 | +0.4 |
| 21 | Zane Smith | 20.2 | 21 | -0.8 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ryan Blaney: has 26 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 8.0 avg finish (2 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P11 vs predicted P22. Track history: 15 starts, 14.5 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 Xfinity 500?
Ryan Blaney won the 2024 Xfinity 500 at Martinsville Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2024 Xfinity 500 held?
The 2024 Xfinity 500 was held at Martinsville Speedway on November 3, 2024.