NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race
Phoenix Raceway — November 10, 2024
Joey Logano
Winner
312
Laps
20
Entries
9
Leaders
Joey Logano won the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race at Phoenix Raceway on November 10, 2024, leading 107 of 312 laps. Ryan Blaney finished second; William Byron rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, November 10, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | +19 | Joey Logano |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Ryan Blaney |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | William Byron |
| 4 | 1 | -3 | Kyle Larson |
| 5 | 3 | -2 | Christopher Bell |
| 6 | 4 | -2 | Tyler Reddick |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | Bubba Wallace |
| 8 | 24 | +16 | Chase Elliott |
| 9 | 19 | +10 | Chris Buescher |
| 10 | 17 | +7 | Daniel Suarez |
| 11 | 11 | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 12 | 21 | +9 | Noah Gragson |
| 13 | 8 | -5 | Austin Cindric |
| 14 | 14 | — | Alex Bowman |
| 15 | 22 | +7 | Brad Keselowski |
| 16 | 29 | +13 | Harrison Burton |
| 17 | 9 | -8 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 18 | 16 | -2 | Carson Hocevar |
| 19 | 12 | -7 | Ross Chastain |
| 20 | 28 | +8 | Todd Gilliland |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Blaney | 6 | 3 | — | 13 |
| Kyle Larson | 1 | 33 | — | 10 |
| Bubba Wallace | 10 | 2 | — | 10 |
| Ross Chastain | 11 | 1 | — | 10 |
| Christopher Bell | 2 | 29 | — | 9 |
| Denny Hamlin | 3 | 12 | — | 8 |
| Tyler Reddick | 4 | 11 | — | 7 |
| Chase Elliott | 7 | 10 | — | 5 |
| Brad Keselowski | 28 | 6 | — | 5 |
| Harrison Burton | 34 | 7 | — | 4 |
| William Byron | 9 | 13 | — | 2 |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 19 matched drivers, the model averaged 4.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Excellent
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 1 | +11.1 |
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 2 | +4.8 |
| 3 | William Byron | 10.3 | 3 | +7.3 |
| 4 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 4 | +4.6 |
| 5 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 5 | +3.6 |
| 6 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 6 | +3.9 |
| 7 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 7 | +7.0 |
| 8 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 8 | +0.3 |
| 9 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 9 | +1.3 |
| 10 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 10 | +5.6 |
| 11 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 11 | -4.2 |
| 12 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 12 | +11.0 |
| 13 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 13 | +4.0 |
| 14 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 14 | 0.0 |
| 15 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 15 | -3.0 |
| 17 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 17 | -3.2 |
| 18 | Carson Hocevar | 14.7 | 18 | -3.3 |
| 19 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 19 | -5.2 |
| 20 | Todd Gilliland | 17.1 | 20 | -2.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Joey Logano: has 23 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 13.2 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 20 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 7.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race?
Joey Logano won the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race at Phoenix Raceway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race held?
The 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race was held at Phoenix Raceway on November 10, 2024.