YellaWood 500

Talladega Superspeedway — October 6, 2024

Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Winner
195
Laps
30
Entries
24
Leaders

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2024 YellaWood 500 at Talladega Superspeedway on October 6, 2024, leading 19 of 195 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; William Byron rounded out the podium. The race featured 24 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 6, 2024
Season
2024
Leaders
24 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 20 +19 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
2 18 +16 Brad Keselowski
3 5 +2 William Byron
4 17 +13 Kyle Larson
5 4 -1 Erik Jones
6 13 +7 Christopher Bell
7 33 +26 Justin Haley
8 30 +22 Austin Dillon
9 22 +13 Bubba Wallace
10 1 -9 Denny Hamlin
11 11 Martin Truex, Jr.
12 Cody Ware
13 2 -11 Ty Gibbs
14 10 -4 Carson Hocevar
15 Shane van Gisbergen
16 25 +9 Alex Bowman
17 14 -3 Chris Buescher
18 35 +17 Corey LaJoie
19 31 +12 Kyle Busch
20 6 -14 Tyler Reddick
22 B.J. McLeod
23 29 +6 Todd Gilliland
28 A.J. Allmendinger
29 3 -26 Chase Elliott
32 34 +2 Austin Cindric
33 23 -10 Joey Logano
37 9 -28 Michael McDowell
38 21 -17 Daniel Hemric
39 16 -23 Ryan Blaney
40 12 -28 Ross Chastain
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Tyler Reddick 1 2 19
Denny Hamlin 3 3 16
William Byron 6 4 12
Christopher Bell 13 1 10
Chase Elliott 5 7 10
Ty Gibbs 2 17 9
Ryan Blaney 7 6 9
Erik Jones 4 13 7
Martin Truex, Jr. 10 5 7
Michael McDowell 8 19 3
Brad Keselowski 14 9 2
Chris Buescher 17 10 1
Cody Ware
Shane van Gisbergen
B.J. McLeod
A.J. Allmendinger
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 29 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 18.5 1 +17.5
2 Brad Keselowski 16.0 2 +14.0
3 William Byron 13.9 3 +10.9
4 Kyle Larson 18.5 4 +14.5
5 Erik Jones 18.5 5 +13.5
6 Christopher Bell 17.4 6 +11.4
7 Justin Haley 23.4 7 +16.4
8 Austin Dillon 23.4 8 +15.4
9 Bubba Wallace 16.0 9 +7.0
10 Denny Hamlin 16.0 10 +6.0
11 Martin Truex, Jr. 20.1 11 +9.1
12 Cody Ware 27.9 12 +15.9
13 Ty Gibbs 22.9 13 +9.9
14 Carson Hocevar 19.4 14 +5.4
15 Shane van Gisbergen 23.4 15 +8.4
16 Alex Bowman 15.1 16 -0.9
17 Chris Buescher 13.6 17 -3.4
18 Corey LaJoie 23.3 18 +5.3
19 Kyle Busch 15.1 19 -3.9
20 Tyler Reddick 13.6 20 -6.4

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: has 24 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 12.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 14.3 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P29 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2024 YellaWood 500?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the 2024 YellaWood 500 at Talladega Superspeedway driving for JTG Daugherty Racing.
Where was the 2024 YellaWood 500 held?
The 2024 YellaWood 500 was held at Talladega Superspeedway on October 6, 2024.