O'Reilly Series Preview Saturday, May 23, 2026

Charbroil 300

Charlotte Motor Speedway

Laps 200 Distance 300 mi Type intermediate Coverage CW · 5:00 PM ET

1.5

asphalt

Surface

Green Flag In

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Days

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Hrs

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Min

Pre-Race Race Day Post-Race

Band A · The Hook

Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.

Your Drivers' Outlook

Historical Context

Tyler Reddick has 15 starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with 1 win and a 7.7 average finish.
Chase Elliott has 20 starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with 3 wins and a 13.1 average finish.
Denny Hamlin has 39 starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with 2 wins and a 11.8 average finish.

Based on O'Reilly Series results at Charlotte Motor Speedway from 1982-2026.

DID YOU KNOW?

Kyle Busch finishes in the top 10 at Charlotte Motor Speedway 76% of the time across 68 starts.

Kyle Busch's track record

LAST TIME HERE

Chase Elliott won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway.

See Chase Elliott's results

Band B · The Story

The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.

Band C · The Data

Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.

TV & Start Time

What channel is the Charbroil 300 on?

The Charbroil 300 airs on CW on Saturday, May 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, broadcast from Charlotte Motor Speedway. All 2026 NASCAR Xfinity (O'Reilly Auto Parts) Series races air exclusively on The CW, which is free over-the-air with a digital antenna.

What time does the NASCAR Xfinity race start today?

The Charbroil 300 green flag is set for 5:00 PM ET on Saturday, May 23, 2026, airing on CW. All NASCAR start times are listed in Eastern Time.

NR-Rating Track Rankings

#	Driver	Badge	Elo Rating	Starts	Wins	Last Finish
1	Denny Hamlin	Prev Winner	1624	21	1	P16(2025)
2	Chase Elliott	Prev Winner	1617	13	1	P6(2025)
3	Tyler Reddick		1597	7	0	P12(2025)
4	Chris Buescher		1591	11	0	P15(2025)
5	Chase Briscoe		1579	4	0	P3(2025)
6	Brad Keselowski	Prev Winner	1570	20	2	P5(2025)
7	William Byron		1561	8	0	P2(2025)
8	Ryan Preece		1544	5	0	P9(2025)
9	Bubba Wallace		1543	7	0	P35(2025)
10	Christopher Bell	Prev Winner	1539	6	1	P8(2025)

NR-Rating: Elo-based rating from the NR-Rating prediction model. Higher = stronger at this track type. = Previous winner at this track

NR-Rating Predictions

Last updated: Wed, May 13, 2026, 07:50 AM ET

#	Driver	Tier	Exp. Finish	Win %	Top 5 %	Top 10 %
1	Tyler Reddick Best in Field	Favorite	6.2	18.2%	58.6%	76.5%
2	Chase Elliott	Favorite	7.8	17.8%	58.4%	76.5%
3	Denny Hamlin	Favorite	8.2	16.3%	55.9%	74.6%
4	Chris Buescher	Favorite	9.2	15.4%	54.1%	72.9%
5	Ryan Blaney	Favorite	9.2	12.7%	49.0%	69.0%
6	Ryan Preece	Favorite	10.1	10.9%	46.4%	67.2%
7	Christopher Bell	Contender	10.7	9.6%	43.6%	65.3%
8	William Byron	Contender	10.7	8.4%	40.3%	62.2%
9	Brad Keselowski	Contender	11.2	7.6%	38.0%	60.3%
10	Chase Briscoe	Contender	11.9	6.4%	35.5%	58.5%
11	Kyle Larson	Contender	12.7	5.2%	32.4%	56.7%
12	Bubba Wallace	Contender	12.7	5.1%	30.9%	55.5%
13	Carson Hocevar	Contender	13.1	4.3%	28.1%	53.2%
14	Ross Chastain	Contender	13.3	3.8%	25.9%	50.5%
15	Alex Bowman	Mid-Pack	13.5	3.3%	24.0%	49.5%
16	Daniel Suarez	Mid-Pack	14.0	3.1%	21.8%	47.6%
17	Ty Gibbs	Mid-Pack	14.5	3.0%	20.3%	45.4%
18	Joey Logano	Mid-Pack	14.7	2.7%	18.8%	43.9%
19	Austin Cindric	Mid-Pack	15.4	2.2%	16.9%	41.0%
20	Erik Jones	Mid-Pack	16.7	1.7%	13.5%	36.0%
21	Casey Mears	Mid-Pack	16.9	1.4%	12.6%	34.6%
22	Michael McDowell	Mid-Pack	17.0	1.2%	11.6%	32.5%
23	Kyle Busch	Mid-Pack	17.0	1.1%	10.9%	31.6%
24	Austin Dillon	Mid-Pack	17.1	0.9%	10.3%	30.3%
25	Shane van Gisbergen	Mid-Pack	18.3	0.7%	8.5%	27.2%
26	A.J. Allmendinger	Mid-Pack	18.3	0.5%	7.5%	25.0%
27	John Hunter Nemechek	Dark Horse	19.1	0.5%	6.7%	22.9%
28	Zane Smith	Dark Horse	19.1	0.5%	6.5%	22.5%
29	Todd Gilliland	Dark Horse	19.1	0.4%	5.8%	21.1%
30	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	Dark Horse	19.9	0.3%	4.6%	18.5%
31	Josh Berry	Dark Horse	22.9	0.2%	2.1%	10.8%
32	Connor Zilisch	Dark Horse	22.9	0.1%	2.0%	11.2%
33	Katherine Legge	Dark Horse	21.4	0.1%	2.4%	13.2%
34	Cole Custer	Dark Horse	22.9	0.1%	1.9%	11.2%
35	Noah Gragson	Dark Horse	21.4	0.1%	2.3%	12.7%
36	Riley Herbst	Dark Horse	21.4	0.1%	2.5%	13.9%
37	Ty Dillon	Dark Horse	23.4	0.1%	1.5%	8.7%
38	B.J. McLeod	Dark Horse	24.8	0.0%	0.9%	6.7%
39	Cody Ware	Dark Horse	56.1	0.0%	0.1%	1.3%

Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning — higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.

Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)

Prediction Scorecard

Go Bowling at The Glen: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P24

(1/5 top-5 hits)

38% top-5 hit rate across 11 races

History at Charlotte Motor Speedway

O'Reilly Series data from 1982-2026 (21 races)

Recent Results

Year	Race	Winner	Margin	Laps Led
2025	NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte	William Byron	—	71
2024	NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte	Chase Elliott	—	18
2022	NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte	Josh Berry	—	89
2021	NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte	Ty Gibbs	—	20
2020	NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE	A.J. Allmendinger	—	12

Laps Led Leaders

Driver	Total Laps Led
Austin Dillon	248
Justin Allgaier	214
Kyle Larson	145
Chase Briscoe	143
Daniel Suarez	115

Track Type Tendencies

intermediate

Intermediate tracks like Charlotte Motor Speedway reward the complete package — car setup, pit strategy, and driver consistency all factor in. These are the races where elite teams separate themselves.

Track position and tire management are critical, especially in long green-flag runs.

Fantasy

Dominator Plays

Austin Dillon 248 laps led

Justin Allgaier 214 laps led

Kyle Larson 145 laps led

High laps-led totals at this track

Consistency Plays

Ty Gibbs 4.00 avg

Sam Mayer 6.00 avg

Kasey Kahne 8.50 avg

50%+ top-5 rate at this track

Value Picks

Sam Mayer 6.00 avg, 0 wins

Daniel Suarez 7.50 avg, 0 wins

Trevor Bayne 7.60 avg, 0 wins

Strong avg finish but no wins — lower ownership

Explore More

Track History