NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Race at Iowa
Iowa SpeedwayYour watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.
Your Drivers' Outlook
Historical Context
- Tyler Reddick has 10 starts at Iowa Speedway with a 12.5 average finish.
- Chase Elliott has 8 starts at Iowa Speedway with a 9.5 average finish.
- Denny Hamlin has 1 start at Iowa Speedway with a 24.0 average finish.
Based on O'Reilly Series results at Iowa Speedway from 1982-2026.
The wildest race at Iowa Speedway was the 2024 Iowa Corn 350 with a chaos score of 70.8.
See track historyChristopher Bell has led 774 laps at Iowa Speedway — more than anyone else.
Christopher Bell's statsThe narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.
Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.
TV & Start Time
What channel is the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Race at Iowa on?
The NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Race at Iowa airs on CW on Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, broadcast from Iowa Speedway. All 2026 NASCAR Xfinity (O'Reilly Auto Parts) Series races air exclusively on The CW, which is free over-the-air with a digital antenna.
What time does the NASCAR Xfinity race start today?
The NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Race at Iowa green flag is set for 5:00 PM ET on Saturday, August 8, 2026, airing on CW. All NASCAR start times are listed in Eastern Time.
NR-Rating Track Rankings
| # | Driver | Elo Rating | Last Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 1656 | P28 |
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 1648 | P4 |
| 3 | Denny Hamlin | 1623 | P24 |
| 4 | Christopher Bell | 1594 | P17 |
| 5 | Joey Logano | 1577 | P9 |
| 6 | Chase Elliott | 1575 | P14 |
| 7 | William Byron | 1550 | P1 |
| 8 | Ty Gibbs | 1544 | P21 |
| 9 | Ross Chastain | 1539 | P11 |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | 1536 | P3 |
NR-Rating Predictions
Last updated: Wed, May 13, 2026, 07:50 AM ET
| # | Driver | Exp. Finish | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Reddick Best in Field | 6.2 | 18.2% |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 17.8% |
| 3 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 16.3% |
| 4 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 15.4% |
| 5 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 12.7% |
| 6 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 10.9% |
| 7 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 9.6% |
| 8 | William Byron | 10.7 | 8.4% |
| 9 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 7.6% |
| 10 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 6.4% |
| 11 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 5.2% |
| 12 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 5.1% |
| 13 | Carson Hocevar | 13.1 | 4.3% |
| 14 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 3.8% |
| 15 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 3.3% |
| 16 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 3.1% |
| 17 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 3.0% |
| 18 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 2.7% |
| 19 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 2.2% |
| 20 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 1.7% |
| 21 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 1.4% |
| 22 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 1.2% |
| 23 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 1.1% |
| 24 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 0.9% |
| 25 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 0.7% |
| 26 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 0.5% |
| 27 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 0.5% |
| 28 | Zane Smith | 19.1 | 0.5% |
| 29 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 0.4% |
| 30 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 0.3% |
| 31 | Josh Berry | 22.9 | 0.2% |
| 32 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 0.1% |
| 33 | Connor Zilisch | 22.9 | 0.1% |
| 34 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 0.1% |
| 35 | Riley Herbst | 21.4 | 0.1% |
| 36 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 0.1% |
| 37 | Katherine Legge | 27.2 | 0.0% |
| 38 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 0.0% |
| 39 | Cody Ware | 56.1 | 0.0% |
Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning — higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.
Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)
Prediction Scorecard
Go Bowling at The Glen: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P24
(1/5 top-5 hits)
38% top-5 hit rate across 11 races
History at Iowa Speedway
O'Reilly Series data from 1982-2026 (17 races)
Recent Results
All Results at This Track
Laps Led Leaders
| Driver | Total Laps Led |
|---|---|
| Christopher Bell | 668 |
| Justin Allgaier | 418 |
| Austin Dillon | 169 |
| Cole Custer | 169 |
| Chandler Smith | 131 |
Track Type Tendencies
Iowa Speedway is a short track where driver skill and aggression take center stage. Passing requires contact, tempers run hot, and strategy around restarts and pit timing can make or break a race.
Short tracks historically produce the most lead changes and the closest finishes.
Fantasy
High laps-led totals at this track
Strong avg finish but no wins — lower ownership