NSCS at New Hampshire presented by GoDaddy.com

New Hampshire Motor Speedway — September 14, 2008

Greg Biffle

Winner

300

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Greg Biffle won the 2008 NSCS at New Hampshire presented by GoDaddy.com at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on September 14, 2008, leading 58 of 300 laps. Jimmie Johnson finished second; Carl Edwards rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Sunday, September 14, 2008

Track

New Hampshire Motor Speedway

Season

2008

Winner

Greg Biffle

Leaders

8 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	9	+8	Greg Biffle		300	—	Running	58	190
2	3	+1	Jimmie Johnson		300	—	Running	96	180
3	2	-1	Carl Edwards		300	—	Running	61	170
4	7	+3	Jeff Burton		300	—	Running	—	160
5	4	-1	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.		300	—	Running	79	160
6	20	+14	Kurt Busch	Dodge	300	—	Running	—	150
7	18	+11	Martin Truex, Jr.		300	—	Running	—	146
8	8	—	Tony Stewart		300	—	Running	1	147
9	6	-3	Denny Hamlin		300	—	Running	—	138
10	11	+1	Kevin Harvick		300	—	Running	—	134
11	13	+2	Kasey Kahne	Dodge	300	—	Running	—	130
12	5	-7	Clint Bowyer		300	—	Running	—	127
13	21	+8	Bobby Labonte	Dodge	300	—	Running	—	124
14	10	-4	Jeff Gordon		300	—	Running	—	121
15	27	+12	David Reutimann		300	—	Running	—	118
16	24	+8	Travis Kvapil		300	—	Running	—	115
17	22	+5	Juan Pablo Montoya	Dodge	300	—	Running	—	112
18	15	-3	Aric Almirola		300	—	Running	—	109
19	33	+14	Scott Riggs		300	—	Running	—	106
20	43	+23	Johnny Sauter		300	—	Running	—	103
21	28	+7	Paul Menard		300	—	Running	—	100
22	30	+8	Reed Sorenson	Dodge	299	—	Running	—	97
23	29	+6	Regan Smith		299	—	Running	—	94
24	23	-1	Elliott Sadler	Dodge	299	—	Running	—	91
25	32	+7	Michael Waltrip		299	—	Running	—	88
26	38	+12	Robby Gordon	Dodge	299	—	Running	—	85
27	35	+8	Michael McDowell		299	—	Running	1	87
28	14	-14	David Ragan		298	—	Running	—	79
29	37	+8	Bill Elliott		298	—	Running	—	76
30	36	+6	Sam Hornish Jr.	Dodge	298	—	Running	—	73
31	39	+8	Patrick Carpentier	Dodge	298	—	Running	—	70
32	40	+8	Joey Logano		297	—	Running	—	67
33	31	-2	Dave Blaney		297	—	Running	—	64
34	1	-33	Kyle Busch		288	—	Running	3	66
35	16	-19	Brian Vickers		287	—	Running	1	63
36	17	-19	Ryan Newman	Dodge	285	—	Running	—	55
37	25	-12	Casey Mears		269	—	Running	—	52
38	34	-4	A.J. Allmendinger		264	—	Running	—	49
39	19	-20	Jamie McMurray		230	—	DNF	—	46
40	12	-28	Matt Kenseth		228	—	DNF	—	43
41	26	-15	David Gilliland		228	—	DNF	—	40
42	41	-1	Chad McCumbee	Dodge	228	—	DNF	—	37
43	42	-1	Joe Nemechek		218	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.0 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
2	Jimmie Johnson	18.3	2	+16.3	Moderate
7	Martin Truex, Jr.	14.0	7	+7.0	Coinflip
9	Denny Hamlin	8.6	9	-0.4	Moderate
10	Kevin Harvick	10.3	10	+0.3	Moderate
18	Aric Almirola	15.0	18	-3.0	Coinflip
27	Michael McDowell	14.0	27	-13.0	Coinflip
32	Joey Logano	10.8	32	-21.2	Coinflip
34	Kyle Busch	14.0	34	-20.0	Coinflip
36	Ryan Newman	23.1	36	-12.9	High Confidence
37	Casey Mears	17.7	37	-19.3	Moderate
38	A.J. Allmendinger	19.0	38	-19.0	Moderate

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Greg Biffle: has 29 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 13.9 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 35 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 10.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P9 on the day.
Jimmie Johnson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P18. Track history: 24 starts, 10.8 avg finish.

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