NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Las Vegas
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — March 10, 2013
Matt Kenseth
Winner
267
Laps
43
Entries
8
Leaders
Matt Kenseth won the 2013 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 10, 2013, leading 42 of 267 laps. Kasey Kahne finished second; Brad Keselowski rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, March 10, 2013
Track
Season
2013
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | +17 | Matt Kenseth |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Kasey Kahne |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Brad Keselowski |
| 4 | 13 | +9 | Kyle Busch |
| 5 | 16 | +11 | Carl Edwards |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 7 | 12 | +5 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 8 | 11 | +3 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 9 | 8 | -1 | Kevin Harvick |
| 10 | 17 | +7 | Paul Menard |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | Tony Stewart |
| 12 | 21 | +9 | Joey Logano |
| 13 | 23 | +10 | Jamie McMurray |
| 14 | 15 | +1 | Mark Martin |
| 15 | 6 | -9 | Denny Hamlin |
| 16 | 22 | +6 | Aric Almirola |
| 17 | 5 | -12 | Greg Biffle |
| 18 | 7 | -11 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 19 | 25 | +6 | Juan Pablo Montoya |
| 20 | 24 | +4 | Kurt Busch |
| 21 | 27 | +6 | Austin Dillon |
| 22 | 19 | -3 | Marcos Ambrose |
| 23 | 36 | +13 | Trevor Bayne |
| 24 | 33 | +9 | Dave Blaney |
| 25 | 10 | -15 | Jeff Gordon |
| 26 | 20 | -6 | Jeff Burton |
| 27 | 2 | -25 | Clint Bowyer |
| 28 | 31 | +3 | David Gilliland |
| 29 | 30 | +1 | Casey Mears |
| 30 | 26 | -4 | Bobby Labonte |
| 31 | 29 | -2 | David Ragan |
| 32 | 38 | +6 | David Stremme |
| 33 | 37 | +4 | Danica Patrick |
| 34 | 32 | -2 | David Reutimann |
| 35 | 43 | +8 | Josh Wise |
| 36 | 35 | -1 | J.J. Yeley |
| 37 | 34 | -3 | Ken Schrader |
| 38 | 14 | -24 | Ryan Newman |
| 39 | 28 | -11 | Travis Kvapil |
| 40 | 42 | +2 | Joe Nemechek |
| 41 | 40 | -1 | Scott Speed |
| 42 | 41 | -1 | Landon Cassill |
| 43 | 39 | -4 | Michael McDowell |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.4 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Brad Keselowski | 11.9 | 3 | +8.9 |
| 4 | Kyle Busch | 17.1 | 4 | +13.1 |
| 6 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 6 | +13.9 |
| 8 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 8 | +7.4 |
| 9 | Kevin Harvick | 12.7 | 9 | +3.7 |
| 12 | Joey Logano | 13.5 | 12 | +1.5 |
| 15 | Denny Hamlin | 6.2 | 15 | -8.8 |
| 16 | Aric Almirola | 15.4 | 16 | -0.6 |
| 18 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 21.0 | 18 | +3.0 |
| 21 | Austin Dillon | 18.3 | 21 | -2.7 |
| 29 | Casey Mears | 17.0 | 29 | -12.0 |
| 36 | J.J. Yeley | 28.2 | 36 | -7.8 |
| 43 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 43 | -26.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Matt Kenseth: has 30 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 16.7 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 37 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 13.2 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P15 on the day.
- Jimmie Johnson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P20. Track history: 24 starts, 12.6 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2013 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Las Vegas?
Matt Kenseth won the 2013 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2013 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Las Vegas held?
The 2013 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Las Vegas was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 10, 2013.