NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas
Kansas Speedway — October 5, 2014
Joey Logano
Winner
267
Laps
43
Entries
9
Leaders
Joey Logano won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway on October 5, 2014, leading 122 of 267 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Joey Logano |
| 2 | 18 | +16 | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 15 | +11 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 5 | 12 | +7 | Carl Edwards |
| 6 | 17 | +11 | Ryan Newman |
| 7 | 25 | +18 | Denny Hamlin |
| 8 | 16 | +8 | Austin Dillon |
| 9 | 13 | +4 | Paul Menard |
| 10 | 2 | -8 | Brian Vickers |
| 11 | 20 | +9 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 12 | 1 | -11 | Kevin Harvick |
| 13 | 27 | +14 | Matt Kenseth |
| 14 | 5 | -9 | Jeff Gordon |
| 15 | 11 | -4 | Greg Biffle |
| 16 | 29 | +13 | Danica Patrick |
| 17 | 9 | -8 | Tony Stewart |
| 18 | 19 | +1 | Clint Bowyer |
| 19 | 23 | +4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 20 | 22 | +2 | Marcos Ambrose |
| 21 | 35 | +14 | Landon Cassill |
| 22 | 10 | -12 | Kasey Kahne |
| 23 | 39 | +16 | Cole Whitt |
| 24 | 36 | +12 | Michael Annett |
| 25 | 14 | -11 | Jamie McMurray |
| 26 | 30 | +4 | Reed Sorenson |
| 27 | 37 | +10 | David Ragan |
| 28 | 26 | -2 | Casey Mears |
| 29 | 38 | +9 | J.J. Yeley |
| 30 | 31 | +1 | David Gilliland |
| 31 | 3 | -28 | Aric Almirola |
| 32 | 33 | +1 | Alex Bowman |
| 33 | 40 | +7 | Timmy Hill |
| 34 | 43 | +9 | Mike Wallace |
| 35 | 28 | -7 | Michael McDowell |
| 36 | 6 | -30 | Brad Keselowski |
| 37 | 42 | +5 | Joey Gase |
| 38 | 34 | -4 | Josh Wise |
| 39 | 8 | -31 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 40 | 32 | -8 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 41 | 21 | -20 | Justin Allgaier |
| 42 | 24 | -18 | Kurt Busch |
| 43 | 41 | -2 | Mike Bliss |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 1 | +13.7 |
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 2 | +10.7 |
| 3 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 3 | +14.0 |
| 4 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 4 | +11.4 |
| 7 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 7 | +1.2 |
| 8 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 8 | +9.1 |
| 11 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 11 | +7.3 |
| 19 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 19 | +0.9 |
| 28 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 28 | -11.1 |
| 29 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 29 | -0.2 |
| 32 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 32 | -18.5 |
| 33 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 33 | -9.1 |
| 35 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 35 | -18.0 |
| 36 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 36 | -24.8 |
| 37 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 37 | -13.6 |
| 40 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 40 | -20.1 |
| 41 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 41 | -22.7 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Joey Logano: has 41 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 15.4 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 42 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.9 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P7 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P17. Track history: 54 starts, 13.1 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas?
Joey Logano won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas held?
The 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas was held at Kansas Speedway on October 5, 2014.