NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Charlotte
Charlotte Motor Speedway — October 11, 2014
Kevin Harvick
Winner
334
Laps
43
Entries
14
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway on October 11, 2014, leading 162 of 334 laps. Jeff Gordon finished second; Jamie McMurray rounded out the podium. The race featured 14 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 11, 2014
Track
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
14 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +6 | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 2 | — | Jeff Gordon |
| 3 | 18 | +15 | Jamie McMurray |
| 4 | 13 | +9 | Joey Logano |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Kyle Busch |
| 6 | 24 | +18 | Kyle Larson |
| 7 | 5 | -2 | Ryan Newman |
| 8 | 10 | +2 | Carl Edwards |
| 9 | 3 | -6 | Denny Hamlin |
| 10 | 19 | +9 | Kasey Kahne |
| 11 | 11 | — | Kurt Busch |
| 12 | 26 | +14 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 13 | 20 | +7 | Austin Dillon |
| 14 | 23 | +9 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 15 | 16 | +1 | Justin Allgaier |
| 16 | 17 | +1 | Brad Keselowski |
| 17 | 21 | +4 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 18 | 12 | -6 | Greg Biffle |
| 19 | 22 | +3 | Matt Kenseth |
| 20 | 9 | -11 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 21 | 4 | -17 | Tony Stewart |
| 22 | 15 | -7 | Aric Almirola |
| 23 | 32 | +9 | Landon Cassill |
| 24 | 28 | +4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 25 | 27 | +2 | Marcos Ambrose |
| 26 | 14 | -12 | Danica Patrick |
| 27 | 30 | +3 | Reed Sorenson |
| 28 | 36 | +8 | Cole Whitt |
| 29 | 31 | +2 | Michael McDowell |
| 30 | 33 | +3 | Alex Bowman |
| 31 | 29 | -2 | Casey Mears |
| 32 | 37 | +5 | David Gilliland |
| 33 | 35 | +2 | Michael Annett |
| 34 | 34 | — | David Ragan |
| 35 | 42 | +7 | Corey LaJoie |
| 36 | 40 | +4 | Timmy Hill |
| 37 | 8 | -29 | Brian Vickers |
| 38 | 41 | +3 | J.J. Yeley |
| 39 | 43 | +4 | Blake Koch |
| 40 | 39 | -1 | Brett Moffitt |
| 41 | 38 | -3 | Josh Wise |
| 42 | 6 | -36 | Paul Menard |
| 43 | 25 | -18 | Clint Bowyer |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.9 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 4 | +10.7 |
| 5 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 5 | +12.0 |
| 6 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 6 | +6.7 |
| 9 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 9 | -0.8 |
| 12 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 12 | +6.3 |
| 13 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 13 | +4.1 |
| 14 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 14 | +1.4 |
| 15 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 15 | +3.3 |
| 16 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 16 | -4.8 |
| 17 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 17 | +2.9 |
| 24 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 24 | -4.1 |
| 29 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 29 | -12.0 |
| 30 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 30 | -16.5 |
| 31 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 31 | -14.1 |
| 35 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 35 | -12.8 |
| 36 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 36 | -12.1 |
| 38 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 38 | -9.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 52 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 10.5 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 39 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P9 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P17. Track history: 68 starts, 8.4 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Charlotte?
Kevin Harvick won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Charlotte held?
The 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Charlotte was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on October 11, 2014.