NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Chicago
Chicagoland Speedway — September 14, 2014
Brad Keselowski
Winner
267
Laps
43
Entries
7
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Chicago at Chicagoland Speedway on September 14, 2014, leading 62 of 267 laps. Jeff Gordon finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, September 14, 2014
Track
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | +24 | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 8 | +6 | Jeff Gordon |
| 3 | 10 | +7 | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 28 | +24 | Joey Logano |
| 5 | 12 | +7 | Kevin Harvick |
| 6 | 24 | +18 | Denny Hamlin |
| 7 | 1 | -6 | Kyle Busch |
| 8 | 14 | +6 | Kurt Busch |
| 9 | 11 | +2 | Jamie McMurray |
| 10 | 5 | -5 | Matt Kenseth |
| 11 | 13 | +2 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 12 | 7 | -5 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 13 | 19 | +6 | Kasey Kahne |
| 14 | 27 | +13 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 15 | 2 | -13 | Ryan Newman |
| 16 | 15 | -1 | Austin Dillon |
| 17 | 4 | -13 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 18 | 22 | +4 | Tony Stewart |
| 19 | 18 | -1 | Danica Patrick |
| 20 | 3 | -17 | Carl Edwards |
| 21 | 9 | -12 | Paul Menard |
| 22 | 17 | -5 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 23 | 20 | -3 | Greg Biffle |
| 24 | 16 | -8 | Brian Vickers |
| 25 | 21 | -4 | Marcos Ambrose |
| 26 | 29 | +3 | Casey Mears |
| 27 | 26 | -1 | Justin Allgaier |
| 28 | 38 | +10 | Landon Cassill |
| 29 | 36 | +7 | Reed Sorenson |
| 30 | 33 | +3 | Cole Whitt |
| 31 | 39 | +8 | David Ragan |
| 32 | 32 | — | Michael McDowell |
| 33 | 34 | +1 | Josh Wise |
| 34 | 30 | -4 | David Gilliland |
| 35 | 37 | +2 | Alex Bowman |
| 36 | 41 | +5 | Joe Nemechek |
| 37 | 43 | +6 | Joey Gase |
| 38 | 42 | +4 | Travis Kvapil |
| 39 | 6 | -33 | Clint Bowyer |
| 40 | 35 | -5 | Michael Annett |
| 41 | 23 | -18 | Aric Almirola |
| 42 | 31 | -11 | Ryan Truex |
| 43 | 40 | -3 | Mike Bliss |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.6 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 1 | +10.2 |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 3 | +9.7 |
| 4 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 4 | +10.7 |
| 6 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 6 | +2.2 |
| 7 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 7 | +10.0 |
| 12 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 12 | +7.9 |
| 14 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 14 | +1.4 |
| 16 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 16 | +1.1 |
| 17 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 17 | +2.9 |
| 22 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 22 | -3.7 |
| 26 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 26 | -9.1 |
| 27 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 27 | -8.7 |
| 32 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 32 | -15.0 |
| 35 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 35 | -21.5 |
| 37 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 37 | -13.6 |
| 42 | Ryan Truex | 15.4 | 42 | -26.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 16 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 8.6 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 19 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 14.4 avg finish (1 win), finishing P6 on the day.
- Joey Logano: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P15. Track history: 17 starts, 8.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Chicago?
Brad Keselowski won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Chicago at Chicagoland Speedway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Chicago held?
The 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Chicago was held at Chicagoland Speedway on September 14, 2014.