NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at New Hampshire
New Hampshire Motor Speedway — September 21, 2014
Joey Logano
Winner
303
Laps
43
Entries
6
Leaders
Joey Logano won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at New Hampshire at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on September 21, 2014, leading 73 of 303 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Kevin Harvick rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, September 21, 2014
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +6 | Joey Logano |
| 2 | 10 | +8 | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 3 | — | Kevin Harvick |
| 4 | 2 | -2 | Jamie McMurray |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 6 | 21 | +15 | Aric Almirola |
| 7 | 1 | -6 | Brad Keselowski |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Kyle Busch |
| 9 | 11 | +2 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 10 | 12 | +2 | Brian Vickers |
| 11 | 22 | +11 | Austin Dillon |
| 12 | 32 | +20 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 13 | 27 | +14 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 14 | 14 | — | Clint Bowyer |
| 15 | 23 | +8 | Paul Menard |
| 16 | 26 | +10 | Greg Biffle |
| 17 | 8 | -9 | Carl Edwards |
| 18 | 9 | -9 | Ryan Newman |
| 19 | 18 | -1 | Danica Patrick |
| 20 | 24 | +4 | Justin Allgaier |
| 21 | 16 | -5 | Matt Kenseth |
| 22 | 25 | +3 | Casey Mears |
| 23 | 17 | -6 | Kasey Kahne |
| 24 | 20 | -4 | Marcos Ambrose |
| 25 | 30 | +5 | Landon Cassill |
| 26 | 13 | -13 | Jeff Gordon |
| 27 | 34 | +7 | David Gilliland |
| 28 | 35 | +7 | Alex Bowman |
| 29 | 38 | +9 | Michael Annett |
| 30 | 28 | -2 | Tony Stewart |
| 31 | 37 | +6 | Reed Sorenson |
| 32 | 40 | +8 | Travis Kvapil |
| 33 | 39 | +6 | Josh Wise |
| 34 | 42 | +8 | Mike Wallace |
| 35 | 43 | +8 | Timmy Hill |
| 36 | 15 | -21 | Kurt Busch |
| 37 | 4 | -33 | Denny Hamlin |
| 38 | 31 | -7 | Cole Whitt |
| 39 | 19 | -20 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 40 | 36 | -4 | David Stremme |
| 41 | 41 | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 42 | 29 | -13 | David Ragan |
| 43 | 33 | -10 | Clay Rogers |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 1 | +11.1 |
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 2 | +6.6 |
| 5 | Jimmie Johnson | 17.7 | 5 | +12.7 |
| 7 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 7 | +5.0 |
| 8 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 8 | +7.6 |
| 11 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 11 | +6.0 |
| 12 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 12 | +1.8 |
| 13 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 13 | +5.3 |
| 20 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 20 | -2.3 |
| 22 | Casey Mears | 18.0 | 22 | -4.0 |
| 28 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 28 | -14.0 |
| 35 | Timmy Hill | 24.3 | 35 | -10.7 |
| 37 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 37 | -30.2 |
| 39 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 39 | -18.9 |
| 41 | Corey LaJoie | 24.9 | 41 | -16.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Joey Logano: has 28 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 13.0 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 35 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 10.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P37 on the day.
- Jimmie Johnson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P18. Track history: 24 starts, 10.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at New Hampshire?
Joey Logano won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at New Hampshire at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at New Hampshire held?
The 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at New Hampshire was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on September 21, 2014.