NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Las Vegas
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — March 9, 2014
Brad Keselowski
Winner
267
Laps
43
Entries
10
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 9, 2014, leading 53 of 267 laps. Dale Earnhardt, Jr. finished second; Paul Menard rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, March 9, 2014
Track
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 14 | +12 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 3 | 21 | +18 | Paul Menard |
| 4 | 1 | -3 | Joey Logano |
| 5 | 11 | +6 | Carl Edwards |
| 6 | 5 | -1 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | Ryan Newman |
| 8 | 13 | +5 | Kasey Kahne |
| 9 | 15 | +6 | Jeff Gordon |
| 10 | 29 | +19 | Matt Kenseth |
| 11 | 20 | +9 | Kyle Busch |
| 12 | 27 | +15 | Denny Hamlin |
| 13 | 9 | -4 | Brian Vickers |
| 14 | 12 | -2 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 15 | 7 | -8 | Jamie McMurray |
| 16 | 4 | -12 | Austin Dillon |
| 17 | 19 | +2 | Jeff Burton |
| 18 | 18 | — | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 19 | 17 | -2 | Kyle Larson |
| 20 | 34 | +14 | Trevor Bayne |
| 21 | 22 | +1 | Danica Patrick |
| 22 | 25 | +3 | Greg Biffle |
| 23 | 3 | -20 | Clint Bowyer |
| 24 | 43 | +19 | Marcos Ambrose |
| 25 | 8 | -17 | Aric Almirola |
| 26 | 23 | -3 | Kurt Busch |
| 27 | 6 | -21 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 28 | 30 | +2 | Casey Mears |
| 29 | 38 | +9 | Michael Annett |
| 30 | 33 | +3 | David Gilliland |
| 31 | 37 | +6 | Justin Allgaier |
| 32 | 26 | -6 | David Ragan |
| 33 | 24 | -9 | Tony Stewart |
| 34 | 40 | +6 | Reed Sorenson |
| 35 | 39 | +4 | Ryan Truex |
| 36 | 28 | -8 | Cole Whitt |
| 37 | 36 | -1 | Alex Bowman |
| 38 | 41 | +3 | Timmy Hill |
| 39 | 33 | -6 | Travis Kvapil |
| 40 | 32 | -8 | Parker Kligerman |
| 41 | 16 | -25 | Kevin Harvick |
| 42 | 31 | -11 | Josh Wise |
| 43 | 35 | -8 | Michael McDowell |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 1 | +10.2 |
| 4 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 4 | +10.7 |
| 6 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 6 | +13.9 |
| 11 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 11 | +6.0 |
| 12 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 12 | -3.8 |
| 14 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 14 | +1.4 |
| 16 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 16 | +1.1 |
| 18 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 18 | +0.3 |
| 19 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 19 | -6.3 |
| 27 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 27 | -7.1 |
| 28 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 28 | -11.1 |
| 31 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 31 | -12.7 |
| 35 | Ryan Truex | 15.4 | 35 | -19.6 |
| 37 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 37 | -23.5 |
| 38 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 38 | -14.1 |
| 43 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 43 | -26.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 35 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 14.7 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 37 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 13.2 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P12 on the day.
- Jimmie Johnson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P20. Track history: 24 starts, 12.6 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Las Vegas?
Brad Keselowski won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Las Vegas held?
The 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Las Vegas was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 9, 2014.