NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHICAGO

Chicagoland Speedway — September 20, 2015

Denny Hamlin

Winner

267

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Denny Hamlin won the 2015 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHICAGO at Chicagoland Speedway on September 20, 2015, leading 9 of 267 laps. Carl Edwards finished second; Kurt Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Sunday, September 20, 2015

Track

Chicagoland Speedway

Season

2015

Winner

Denny Hamlin

Leaders

10 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	29	+28	Denny Hamlin	267	—	Running	9	47
2	14	+12	Carl Edwards	267	—	Running	6	43
3	9	+6	Kurt Busch	267	—	Running	37	42
4	6	+2	Ryan Newman	267	—	Running	—	40
5	12	+7	Matt Kenseth	267	—	Running	1	40
6	2	-4	Joey Logano	267	—	Running	1	39
7	18	+11	Kyle Larson	267	—	Running	2	38
8	3	-5	Brad Keselowski	267	—	Running	—	36
9	7	-2	Kyle Busch	267	—	Running	121	37
10	20	+10	Aric Almirola	267	—	Running	—	34
11	11	—	Jimmie Johnson	267	—	Running	—	33
12	19	+7	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.	267	—	Running	—	32
13	4	-9	Martin Truex, Jr.	267	—	Running	39	32
14	10	-4	Jeff Gordon	267	—	Running	41	31
15	28	+13	David Ragan	267	—	Running	—	29
16	13	-3	Jamie McMurray	266	—	Running	—	28
17	16	-1	Paul Menard	266	—	Running	—	27
18	27	+9	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	265	—	Running	—	26
19	26	+7	Clint Bowyer	265	—	Running	—	25
20	24	+4	Casey Mears	265	—	Running	—	24
21	17	-4	Greg Biffle	265	—	Running	—	23
22	21	-1	Brian Scott	265	—	Running	—	0
23	31	+8	Justin Allgaier	265	—	Running	—	21
24	8	-16	Kasey Kahne	264	—	Running	—	20
25	23	-2	Tony Stewart	264	—	Running	—	19
26	25	-1	Danica Patrick	264	—	Running	—	18
27	36	+9	Landon Cassill	263	—	Running	—	0
28	30	+2	Trevor Bayne	263	—	Running	—	16
29	33	+4	Cole Whitt	263	—	Running	—	15
30	22	-8	Sam Hornish Jr.	262	—	Running	—	14
31	38	+7	Brett Moffitt	262	—	Running	—	13
32	35	+3	David Gilliland	262	—	Running	—	12
33	40	+7	Josh Wise	261	—	Running	—	11
34	37	+3	Michael Annett	261	—	Running	—	10
35	34	-1	J.J. Yeley	261	—	Running	—	0
36	15	-21	A.J. Allmendinger	260	—	Running	—	8
37	32	-5	Alex Bowman	259	—	Running	—	7
38	41	+3	Jeb Burton	259	—	Running	—	6
39	39	—	Matt DiBenedetto	258	—	Running	—	5
40	42	+2	Reed Sorenson	258	—	Running	—	4
41	43	+2	Timmy Hill	255	—	Running	—	0
42	1	-41	Kevin Harvick	209	—	DNF	10	3
43	5	-38	Austin Dillon	198	—	DNF	—	1

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.6 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Denny Hamlin	8.2	1	+7.2	High Confidence
6	Joey Logano	14.7	6	+8.7	Coinflip
7	Kyle Larson	12.7	7	+5.7	Coinflip
8	Brad Keselowski	11.2	8	+3.2	Moderate
9	Kyle Busch	17.0	9	+8.0	Coinflip
11	Jimmie Johnson	19.9	11	+8.9	Moderate
13	Martin Truex, Jr.	15.4	13	+2.4	Coinflip
18	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	19.9	18	+1.9	Moderate
20	Casey Mears	16.9	20	-3.1	Coinflip
23	Justin Allgaier	18.3	23	-4.7	Coinflip
35	J.J. Yeley	28.8	35	-6.2	High Confidence
36	A.J. Allmendinger	18.3	36	-17.7	Moderate
37	Alex Bowman	13.5	37	-23.5	Coinflip
41	Timmy Hill	23.9	41	-17.1	High Confidence
43	Austin Dillon	17.1	43	-25.9	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.