NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT KANSAS CITY
Kansas Speedway — May 9, 2015
Jimmie Johnson
Winner
267
Laps
43
Entries
10
Leaders
Jimmie Johnson won the 2015 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT KANSAS CITY at Kansas Speedway on May 9, 2015, leading 10 of 267 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Dale Earnhardt, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 9, 2015
Track
Season
2015
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | +18 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | Kevin Harvick |
| 3 | 17 | +14 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 4 | 11 | +7 | Jeff Gordon |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Joey Logano |
| 6 | 18 | +12 | Matt Kenseth |
| 7 | 3 | -4 | Brad Keselowski |
| 8 | 8 | — | Kurt Busch |
| 9 | 4 | -5 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 10 | 15 | +5 | Ryan Newman |
| 11 | 14 | +3 | Aric Almirola |
| 12 | 7 | -5 | Greg Biffle |
| 13 | 9 | -4 | Jamie McMurray |
| 14 | 29 | +15 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 15 | 10 | -5 | Kyle Larson |
| 16 | 26 | +10 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 17 | 2 | -15 | Kasey Kahne |
| 18 | 22 | +4 | Paul Menard |
| 19 | 24 | +5 | Casey Mears |
| 20 | 5 | -15 | Carl Edwards |
| 21 | 21 | — | Clint Bowyer |
| 22 | 28 | +6 | Austin Dillon |
| 23 | 43 | +20 | Michael Annett |
| 24 | 20 | -4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 25 | 35 | +10 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 26 | 32 | +6 | Ty Dillon |
| 27 | 27 | — | Danica Patrick |
| 28 | 40 | +12 | Josh Wise |
| 29 | 41 | +12 | Landon Cassill |
| 30 | 25 | -5 | Justin Allgaier |
| 31 | 30 | -1 | Trevor Bayne |
| 32 | 38 | +6 | David Gilliland |
| 33 | 23 | -10 | David Ragan |
| 34 | 39 | +5 | Brett Moffitt |
| 35 | 34 | -1 | Cole Whitt |
| 36 | 31 | -5 | Michael McDowell |
| 37 | 37 | — | J.J. Yeley |
| 38 | 42 | +4 | Joey Gase |
| 39 | 16 | -23 | Tony Stewart |
| 40 | 12 | -28 | Erik Jones |
| 41 | 13 | -28 | Denny Hamlin |
| 42 | 33 | -9 | Jeb Burton |
| 43 | 36 | -7 | Alex Bowman |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.7 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 1 | +18.9 |
| 5 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 5 | +9.7 |
| 7 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 7 | +4.2 |
| 9 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 9 | +6.4 |
| 14 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 14 | +4.3 |
| 15 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 15 | -2.3 |
| 19 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 19 | -2.1 |
| 22 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 22 | -4.9 |
| 24 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 24 | -4.1 |
| 26 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 26 | -2.6 |
| 30 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 30 | -11.7 |
| 36 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 36 | -19.0 |
| 37 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 37 | -8.2 |
| 38 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 38 | -14.6 |
| 40 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 40 | -23.3 |
| 41 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 41 | -32.8 |
| 43 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 43 | -29.5 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Jimmie Johnson: has 26 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 9.2 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 42 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.9 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P41 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2015 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT KANSAS CITY?
Jimmie Johnson won the 2015 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT KANSAS CITY at Kansas Speedway.
Where was the 2015 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT KANSAS CITY held?
The 2015 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT KANSAS CITY was held at Kansas Speedway on May 9, 2015.