NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHICAGO
Chicagoland Speedway — September 18, 2016
Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
270
Laps
40
Entries
9
Leaders
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHICAGO at Chicagoland Speedway on September 18, 2016, leading 32 of 270 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Chase Elliott rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, September 18, 2016
Track
Season
2016
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 2 | 9 | +7 | Joey Logano |
| 3 | 14 | +11 | Chase Elliott |
| 4 | 22 | +18 | Ryan Blaney |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | Brad Keselowski |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | Denny Hamlin |
| 7 | 19 | +12 | Kasey Kahne |
| 8 | 1 | -7 | Kyle Busch |
| 9 | 7 | -2 | Matt Kenseth |
| 10 | 17 | +7 | Alex Bowman |
| 11 | 16 | +5 | Jamie McMurray |
| 12 | 8 | -4 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 13 | 12 | -1 | Kurt Busch |
| 14 | 15 | +1 | Austin Dillon |
| 15 | 5 | -10 | Carl Edwards |
| 16 | 11 | -5 | Tony Stewart |
| 17 | 21 | +4 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 18 | 10 | -8 | Kyle Larson |
| 19 | 18 | -1 | Ryan Newman |
| 20 | 4 | -16 | Kevin Harvick |
| 21 | 26 | +5 | Paul Menard |
| 22 | 28 | +6 | Clint Bowyer |
| 23 | 20 | -3 | Trevor Bayne |
| 24 | 25 | +1 | Danica Patrick |
| 25 | 23 | -2 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 26 | 24 | -2 | Greg Biffle |
| 27 | 33 | +6 | Ty Dillon |
| 28 | 13 | -15 | Chris Buescher |
| 29 | 31 | +2 | Landon Cassill |
| 30 | 35 | +5 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 31 | 34 | +3 | Brian Scott |
| 32 | 27 | -5 | Aric Almirola |
| 33 | 37 | +4 | Michael Annett |
| 34 | 29 | -5 | Casey Mears |
| 35 | 32 | -3 | David Ragan |
| 36 | 36 | — | Cole Whitt |
| 37 | 30 | -7 | Michael McDowell |
| 38 | 40 | +2 | Josh Wise |
| 39 | 39 | — | Reed Sorenson |
| 40 | 38 | -2 | Joey Gase |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.7 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 1 | +14.4 |
| 2 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 2 | +12.7 |
| 3 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 3 | +4.8 |
| 4 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 4 | +5.2 |
| 5 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 5 | +6.2 |
| 6 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 6 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 8 | +9.0 |
| 10 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 10 | +3.5 |
| 12 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 12 | +7.9 |
| 14 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 14 | +3.1 |
| 17 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 17 | +1.3 |
| 18 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 18 | -5.3 |
| 25 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 25 | -5.1 |
| 27 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 27 | -3.6 |
| 28 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 28 | -18.8 |
| 34 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 34 | -17.1 |
| 37 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 37 | -20.0 |
| 40 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 40 | -16.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Martin Truex, Jr.: has 15 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 14.5 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 8.8 avg finish (1 win), finishing P3 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHICAGO?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHICAGO at Chicagoland Speedway.
Where was the 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHICAGO held?
The 2016 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHICAGO was held at Chicagoland Speedway on September 18, 2016.