Ford EcoBoost 400
Homestead-Miami Speedway — November 19, 2017
Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
267
Laps
20
Entries
4
Leaders
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2017 Ford EcoBoost 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 19, 2017, leading 78 of 267 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, November 19, 2017
Track
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
4 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Kyle Busch |
| 3 | 18 | +15 | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | Kevin Harvick |
| 5 | 14 | +9 | Chase Elliott |
| 6 | 5 | -1 | Joey Logano |
| 7 | 15 | +8 | Brad Keselowski |
| 8 | 1 | -7 | Matt Kenseth |
| 9 | 16 | +7 | Denny Hamlin |
| 10 | 13 | +3 | Ryan Newman |
| 11 | 38 | +27 | Austin Dillon |
| 12 | 8 | -4 | Clint Bowyer |
| 13 | 10 | -3 | Jamie McMurray |
| 14 | 22 | +8 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 15 | 4 | -11 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 16 | 26 | +10 | Paul Menard |
| 17 | 30 | +13 | David Ragan |
| 18 | 25 | +7 | Aric Almirola |
| 19 | 29 | +10 | Trevor Bayne |
| 20 | 23 | +3 | Chris Buescher |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Kenseth | 1 | 2 | — | 19 |
| Kyle Larson | 2 | 5 | — | 15 |
| Kevin Harvick | 4 | 3 | — | 15 |
| Brad Keselowski | 6 | 1 | — | 15 |
| Denny Hamlin | 5 | 4 | — | 13 |
| Ryan Newman | 7 | 6 | — | 9 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 3 | 11 | — | 8 |
| Jamie McMurray | 8 | 7 | — | 7 |
| Clint Bowyer | 9 | 8 | — | 5 |
| Joey Logano | 10 | 10 | — | 2 |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.4 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 1 | +14.4 |
| 2 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 2 | +15.0 |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 3 | +9.7 |
| 5 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 5 | +2.8 |
| 6 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 6 | +8.7 |
| 7 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 7 | +4.2 |
| 9 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 9 | -0.8 |
| 11 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 11 | +6.1 |
| 14 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 14 | +4.3 |
| 15 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 15 | +4.9 |
| 20 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 20 | -10.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Martin Truex, Jr.: has 19 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 10.7 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 13 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 10.4 avg finish, finishing P5 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 38 starts, 12.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 Ford EcoBoost 400?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2017 Ford EcoBoost 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway driving for Furniture Row Racing.
Where was the 2017 Ford EcoBoost 400 held?
The 2017 Ford EcoBoost 400 was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 19, 2017.