Federated Auto Parts 400
Richmond Raceway — September 9, 2017
Kyle Larson
Winner
404
Laps
39
Entries
7
Leaders
Kyle Larson won the 2017 Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond Raceway on September 9, 2017, leading 53 of 404 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Ryan Newman rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, September 9, 2017
Track
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | +12 | Kyle Larson |
| 2 | 17 | +15 | Joey Logano |
| 3 | 18 | +15 | Ryan Newman |
| 4 | 15 | +11 | Kurt Busch |
| 5 | 4 | -1 | Denny Hamlin |
| 6 | 6 | — | Erik Jones |
| 7 | 5 | -2 | Daniel Suarez |
| 8 | 12 | +4 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 9 | 7 | -2 | Kyle Busch |
| 10 | 14 | +4 | Chase Elliott |
| 11 | 10 | -1 | Brad Keselowski |
| 12 | 21 | +9 | Kasey Kahne |
| 13 | 19 | +6 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 14 | 8 | -6 | Jamie McMurray |
| 15 | 2 | -13 | Kevin Harvick |
| 16 | 16 | — | Michael McDowell |
| 17 | 25 | +8 | Aric Almirola |
| 18 | 40 | +22 | Ryan Blaney |
| 19 | 24 | +5 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 20 | 1 | -19 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 21 | — | — | Erik Jones |
| 22 | — | — | Kurt Busch |
| 23 | — | — | Landon Cassill |
| 24 | — | — | Michael McDowell |
| 25 | — | — | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 26 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 27 | — | — | Jimmie Johnson |
| 28 | — | — | Cole Whitt |
| 29 | — | — | Ryan Blaney |
| 30 | — | — | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 31 | — | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 32 | — | — | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 33 | — | — | Kasey Kahne |
| 34 | — | — | Daniel Suarez |
| 35 | — | — | Reed Sorenson |
| 36 | — | — | David Starr |
| 37 | — | — | Danica Patrick |
| 38 | 3 | -35 | Matt Kenseth |
| 39 | — | — | Joey Gase |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | 3 | 1 | — | 18 |
| Kevin Harvick | 2 | 2 | — | 18 |
| Kyle Busch | 1 | 5 | — | 16 |
| Jamie McMurray | 5 | 7 | — | 10 |
| Ryan Blaney | 4 | 8 | — | 10 |
| Matt Kenseth | 9 | 4 | — | 9 |
| Brad Keselowski | — | 3 | — | 8 |
| Erik Jones | 10 | 6 | — | 6 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 6 | 10 | — | 6 |
| Chase Elliott | 7 | 9 | — | 6 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 8 | — | — | 3 |
| Kyle Larson | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Kasey Kahne | — | — | — | — |
| Dale Earnhardt, Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Dale Earnhardt, Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Whitt | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | — | — | — | — |
| Kasey Kahne | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Reed Sorenson | — | — | — | — |
| David Starr | — | — | — | — |
| Danica Patrick | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Gase | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.0 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 1 | +7.6 |
| 2 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 2 | +10.1 |
| 5 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 6 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 6 | +11.7 |
| 7 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 7 | +8.6 |
| 8 | Jimmie Johnson | 17.7 | 8 | +9.7 |
| 9 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 9 | +6.6 |
| 10 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 10 | -1.7 |
| 11 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 11 | +1.0 |
| 16 | Michael McDowell | 15.0 | 16 | -1.0 |
| 18 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 18 | -11.2 |
| 19 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 19 | +1.1 |
| 20 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 20 | -6.2 |
| 26 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 26 | -1.7 |
| 31 | Corey LaJoie | 24.9 | 31 | -6.1 |
| 36 | David Starr | 20.2 | 36 | -15.8 |
| 39 | Joey Gase | 22.0 | 39 | -17.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Larson: has 18 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 13.5 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 9.8 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P5 on the day.
- Erik Jones: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P18. Track history: 13 starts, 20.5 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 Federated Auto Parts 400?
Kyle Larson won the 2017 Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond Raceway driving for Chip Ganassi Racing.
Where was the 2017 Federated Auto Parts 400 held?
The 2017 Federated Auto Parts 400 was held at Richmond Raceway on September 9, 2017.