Tales of the Turtles 400

Chicagoland Speedway — September 17, 2017

Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
267
Laps
20
Entries
7
Leaders

Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2017 Tales of the Turtles 400 at Chicagoland Speedway on September 17, 2017, leading 77 of 267 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Kevin Harvick rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, September 17, 2017
Season
2017
Leaders
7 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Martin Truex, Jr.
2 3 +1 Chase Elliott
3 13 +10 Kevin Harvick
4 6 +2 Denny Hamlin
5 9 +4 Kyle Larson
6 7 +1 Brad Keselowski
7 1 -6 Joey Logano
8 24 +16 Jimmie Johnson
9 17 +8 Matt Kenseth
10 16 +6 Jamie McMurray
11 4 -7 Ryan Blaney
12 15 +3 Daniel Suarez
13 5 -8 Clint Bowyer
14 19 +5 Paul Menard
15 14 -1 Kyle Busch
16 25 +9 Austin Dillon
17 21 +4 Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
18 23 +5 Danica Patrick
19 11 -8 Kurt Busch
20 33 +13 Landon Cassill
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Brad Keselowski 1 1 20
Kyle Busch 2 2 18
Joey Logano 3 3 16
Martin Truex, Jr. 5 4 13
Chase Elliott 6 5 11
Ryan Blaney 7 6 9
Jimmie Johnson 4 10 8
Kevin Harvick 7 4
Matt Kenseth 8 3
Clint Bowyer 9 2
Austin Dillon 9 2
Denny Hamlin 10 1
Kyle Larson
Jamie McMurray
Daniel Suarez
Paul Menard
Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
Danica Patrick
Kurt Busch
Landon Cassill
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 5.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 1 +14.4
2 Chase Elliott 7.8 2 +5.8
4 Denny Hamlin 8.2 4 +4.2
5 Kyle Larson 12.7 5 +7.7
6 Brad Keselowski 11.2 6 +5.2
7 Joey Logano 14.7 7 +7.7
8 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 8 +11.9
11 Ryan Blaney 9.2 11 -1.8
12 Daniel Suarez 14.0 12 +2.0
15 Kyle Busch 17.0 15 +2.0
16 Austin Dillon 17.1 16 +1.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Martin Truex, Jr.: has 15 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 14.5 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 8.8 avg finish (1 win), finishing P2 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2017 Tales of the Turtles 400?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2017 Tales of the Turtles 400 at Chicagoland Speedway driving for Furniture Row Racing.
Where was the 2017 Tales of the Turtles 400 held?
The 2017 Tales of the Turtles 400 was held at Chicagoland Speedway on September 17, 2017.