AAA 400 Drive for Autism
Dover Motor Speedway, June 4, 2017
Jimmie Johnson
Winner
406
Laps
39
Entries
9
Leaders
Jimmie Johnson won the 2017 AAA 400 Drive for Autism at Dover Motor Speedway on June 4, 2017, leading 7 of 406 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Martin Truex, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, June 4, 2017
Track
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | +13 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 2 | 5 | +3 | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 4 | 13 | +9 | Ryan Newman |
| 5 | 16 | +11 | Chase Elliott |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | Daniel Suarez |
| 7 | 19 | +12 | Jamie McMurray |
| 8 | 10 | +2 | Denny Hamlin |
| 9 | 18 | +9 | Kevin Harvick |
| 10 | 31 | +21 | Danica Patrick |
| 11 | 11 | — | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 12 | 4 | -8 | Matt Kenseth |
| 13 | 9 | -4 | Austin Dillon |
| 14 | 21 | +7 | Ty Dillon |
| 15 | 7 | -8 | Erik Jones |
| 16 | 1 | -15 | Kyle Busch |
| 17 | 20 | +3 | Kasey Kahne |
| 18 | 24 | +6 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 19 | 28 | +9 | Michael McDowell |
| 20 | 36 | +16 | Ross Chastain |
| 21 | 17 | -4 | Trevor Bayne |
| 22 | 35 | +13 | Cole Whitt |
| 23 | 29 | +6 | Chris Buescher |
| 24 | 32 | +8 | Gray Gaulding |
| 25 | 26 | +1 | Joey Logano |
| 26 | 34 | +8 | Ryan Sieg |
| 27 | 39 | +12 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 28 | 37 | +9 | Timmy Hill |
| 29 | 25 | -4 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 30 | 33 | +3 | David Ragan |
| 31 | 22 | -9 | Clint Bowyer |
| 32 | 15 | -17 | Ryan Blaney |
| 33 | 23 | -10 | Paul Menard |
| 34 | 30 | -4 | Regan Smith |
| 35 | 38 | +3 | Cody Ware |
| 36 | 27 | -9 | Landon Cassill |
| 37 | 6 | -31 | Kurt Busch |
| 38 | 8 | -30 | Brad Keselowski |
| 39 | 12 | -27 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 19 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jimmie Johnson | 17.7 | 1 | +16.7 |
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 9.9 | 2 | +7.9 |
| 3 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 14.0 | 3 | +11.0 |
| 5 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 5 | +3.3 |
| 6 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 6 | +9.6 |
| 8 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 8 | -1.2 |
| 13 | Austin Dillon | 15.6 | 13 | +2.6 |
| 14 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 14 | +10.3 |
| 15 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 15 | +2.7 |
| 18 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 18 | +0.3 |
| 19 | Michael McDowell | 14.7 | 19 | -4.3 |
| 20 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 20 | -6.2 |
| 23 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 23 | -12.7 |
| 25 | Joey Logano | 12.6 | 25 | -12.4 |
| 28 | Timmy Hill | 23.1 | 28 | -4.9 |
| 32 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 32 | -25.2 |
| 35 | Cody Ware | 29.8 | 35 | -5.2 |
| 38 | Brad Keselowski | 12.6 | 38 | -25.4 |
| 39 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.2 | 39 | -18.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Jimmie Johnson: has 9 career starts at Dover Motor Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 14 career starts at Dover Motor Speedway with a 9.6 avg finish (4 wins), finishing P8 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 AAA 400 Drive for Autism?
Jimmie Johnson won the 2017 AAA 400 Drive for Autism at Dover Motor Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2017 AAA 400 Drive for Autism held?
The 2017 AAA 400 Drive for Autism was held at Dover Motor Speedway on June 4, 2017.