Daytona 500
Daytona International Speedway — February 26, 2017
Kurt Busch
Winner
200
Laps
39
Entries
18
Leaders
Kurt Busch won the 2017 Daytona 500 at Daytona International Speedway on February 26, 2017, leading 1 of 200 laps. Ryan Blaney finished second; A.J. Allmendinger rounded out the podium. The race featured 18 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, February 26, 2017
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
18 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | Kurt Busch |
| 2 | 36 | +34 | Ryan Blaney |
| 3 | 38 | +35 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 4 | 13 | +9 | Aric Almirola |
| 5 | 33 | +28 | Paul Menard |
| 6 | 15 | +9 | Joey Logano |
| 7 | 26 | +19 | Kasey Kahne |
| 8 | 30 | +22 | Michael Waltrip |
| 9 | 25 | +16 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 10 | 11 | +1 | Trevor Bayne |
| 11 | 39 | +28 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 12 | 16 | +4 | Kyle Larson |
| 13 | 35 | +22 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 14 | 1 | -13 | Chase Elliott |
| 15 | 22 | +7 | Michael McDowell |
| 16 | 27 | +11 | Landon Cassill |
| 17 | 4 | -13 | Denny Hamlin |
| 18 | 17 | -1 | Cole Whitt |
| 19 | 10 | -9 | Austin Dillon |
| 20 | 40 | +20 | Elliott Sadler |
| 21 | — | — | Cole Whitt |
| 22 | 5 | -17 | Kevin Harvick |
| 23 | — | — | David Ragan |
| 24 | — | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 25 | — | — | Kurt Busch |
| 26 | — | — | Michael McDowell |
| 27 | 7 | -20 | Brad Keselowski |
| 28 | 3 | -25 | Jamie McMurray |
| 29 | — | — | Gray Gaulding |
| 30 | — | — | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 31 | — | — | Derrike Cope |
| 32 | — | — | Landon Cassill |
| 33 | — | — | Ryan Blaney |
| 34 | 24 | -10 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 35 | — | — | Kyle Busch |
| 36 | — | — | Danica Patrick |
| 37 | 2 | -35 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 38 | 21 | -17 | Kyle Busch |
| 39 | — | — | Chris Buescher |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Harvick | 2 | 1 | — | 19 |
| Brad Keselowski | 4 | 4 | — | 14 |
| Kyle Busch | 1 | 38 | — | 10 |
| Ryan Blaney | 3 | 10 | — | 9 |
| Joey Logano | 12 | 2 | — | 9 |
| Kurt Busch | 22 | 3 | — | 8 |
| Kyle Larson | 6 | 8 | — | 8 |
| Dale Earnhardt, Jr. | 5 | 37 | — | 6 |
| A.J. Allmendinger | 17 | 6 | — | 5 |
| Jamie McMurray | 7 | 22 | — | 4 |
| Denny Hamlin | 8 | 28 | — | 3 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 9 | 12 | — | 2 |
| Cole Whitt | — | — | — | — |
| David Ragan | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Gray Gaulding | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Derrike Cope | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Danica Patrick | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 13.9 | 2 | +11.9 |
| 3 | A.J. Allmendinger | 20.1 | 3 | +17.1 |
| 6 | Joey Logano | 20.5 | 6 | +14.5 |
| 12 | Kyle Larson | 18.5 | 12 | +6.5 |
| 13 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 20.1 | 13 | +7.1 |
| 14 | Chase Elliott | 10.4 | 14 | -3.6 |
| 15 | Michael McDowell | 20.0 | 15 | +5.0 |
| 17 | Denny Hamlin | 16.0 | 17 | -1.0 |
| 19 | Austin Dillon | 23.4 | 19 | +4.4 |
| 24 | Corey LaJoie | 23.3 | 24 | -0.7 |
| 27 | Brad Keselowski | 16.0 | 27 | -11.0 |
| 34 | Jimmie Johnson | 18.9 | 34 | -15.1 |
| 35 | Kyle Busch | 15.1 | 35 | -19.9 |
| 39 | Chris Buescher | 13.6 | 39 | -25.4 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kurt Busch: has 44 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.9 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 30 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 15.9 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P14 on the day.
- A.J. Allmendinger: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P20. Track history: 38 starts, 19.7 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 Daytona 500?
Kurt Busch won the 2017 Daytona 500 at Daytona International Speedway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2017 Daytona 500 held?
The 2017 Daytona 500 was held at Daytona International Speedway on February 26, 2017.