FireKeepers Casino 400
Michigan International Speedway — June 18, 2017
Kyle Larson
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
4
Leaders
Kyle Larson won the 2017 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway on June 18, 2017, leading 96 of 200 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, June 18, 2017
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
4 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Kyle Larson |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Chase Elliott |
| 3 | 13 | +10 | Joey Logano |
| 4 | 11 | +7 | Denny Hamlin |
| 5 | 9 | +4 | Jamie McMurray |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 7 | 1 | -6 | Kyle Busch |
| 8 | 22 | +14 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 9 | 28 | +19 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 10 | 10 | — | Jimmie Johnson |
| 11 | 15 | +4 | Matt Kenseth |
| 12 | 18 | +6 | Kurt Busch |
| 13 | 6 | -7 | Erik Jones |
| 14 | 20 | +6 | Kevin Harvick |
| 15 | 23 | +8 | Ryan Newman |
| 16 | 8 | -8 | Brad Keselowski |
| 17 | 30 | +13 | Trevor Bayne |
| 18 | 7 | -11 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 19 | — | — | Bubba Wallace |
| 20 | 24 | +4 | Ty Dillon |
| 21 | — | — | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 22 | — | — | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 23 | — | — | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 24 | — | — | Kasey Kahne |
| 25 | — | — | Danica Patrick |
| 26 | — | — | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 27 | — | — | Chris Buescher |
| 28 | — | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 29 | — | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 30 | — | — | J.J. Yeley |
| 31 | — | — | Gray Gaulding |
| 32 | — | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 33 | — | — | Cole Whitt |
| 34 | — | — | Joey Gase |
| 35 | — | — | Landon Cassill |
| 36 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 37 | — | — | Aric Almirola |
| 38 | — | — | Reed Sorenson |
| 39 | — | — | Austin Dillon |
| 40 | — | — | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 2 | 2 | — | 18 |
| Kyle Busch | 1 | 9 | — | 12 |
| Brad Keselowski | 5 | 7 | — | 10 |
| Chase Elliott | 3 | 18 | — | 8 |
| Matt Kenseth | 24 | 3 | — | 8 |
| Kyle Larson | 4 | 21 | — | 7 |
| Erik Jones | 25 | 5 | — | 6 |
| Denny Hamlin | 32 | 6 | — | 5 |
| Jamie McMurray | 6 | 34 | — | 5 |
| Joey Logano | 7 | 12 | — | 4 |
| A.J. Allmendinger | 8 | 10 | — | 4 |
| Kurt Busch | 27 | 8 | — | 3 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 10 | 33 | — | 1 |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Dale Earnhardt, Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Kasey Kahne | — | — | — | — |
| Danica Patrick | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Gray Gaulding | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Whitt | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Gase | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Reed Sorenson | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 19 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.3 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 1 | +11.7 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 2 | +5.8 |
| 3 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 3 | +11.7 |
| 4 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 4 | +4.2 |
| 6 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 6 | +9.4 |
| 7 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 7 | +10.0 |
| 8 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 8 | +11.9 |
| 10 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 10 | +9.9 |
| 13 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 13 | +3.7 |
| 16 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 16 | -4.8 |
| 18 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 18 | +0.3 |
| 19 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 19 | -6.3 |
| 20 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 20 | +3.4 |
| 27 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 27 | -17.8 |
| 28 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 28 | -5.8 |
| 30 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 30 | -1.2 |
| 32 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 32 | -7.2 |
| 34 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 34 | -10.6 |
| 39 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 39 | -21.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Larson: has 21 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 17 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 10.1 avg finish, finishing P2 on the day.
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P8 vs predicted P20. Track history: 22 starts, 20.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 FireKeepers Casino 400?
Kyle Larson won the 2017 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway driving for Chip Ganassi Racing.
Where was the 2017 FireKeepers Casino 400 held?
The 2017 FireKeepers Casino 400 was held at Michigan International Speedway on June 18, 2017.