Hollywood Casino 400

Kansas Speedway, October 22, 2017

Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
267
Laps
40
Entries
7
Leaders

Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2017 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway on October 22, 2017, leading 91 of 267 laps. Kurt Busch finished second; Ryan Blaney rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 22, 2017
Season
2017
Leaders
7 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 1 Martin Truex, Jr.
2 15 +13 Kurt Busch
3 40 +37 Ryan Blaney
4 14 +10 Chase Elliott
5 4 -1 Denny Hamlin
6 20 +14 Chris Buescher
7 19 +12 Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
8 2 -6 Kevin Harvick
9 25 +16 Aric Almirola
10 7 -3 Kyle Busch
11 12 +1 Jimmie Johnson
12 23 +11 Paul Menard
13 10 -3 Brad Keselowski
14 11 -3 Austin Dillon
15 21 +6 Kasey Kahne
16 29 +13 Ty Dillon
17 27 +10 David Ragan
18 16 -2 Michael McDowell
19 9 -10 Clint Bowyer
20 28 +8 Trevor Bayne
21 17 -4 Joey Logano
22 30 +8 Matt DiBenedetto
23 31 +8 Landon Cassill
24 35 +11 Cole Whitt
25 37 +12 Reed Sorenson
26 38 +12 Jeffrey Earnhardt
27 34 +7 Corey LaJoie
28 33 +5 Gray Gaulding
29 24 -5 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
30 36 +6 B.J. McLeod
31 32 +1 Brett Moffitt
32 26 -6 A.J. Allmendinger
33 18 -15 Ryan Newman
34 8 -26 Jamie McMurray
35 6 -29 Erik Jones
36 5 -31 Daniel Suarez
37 3 -34 Matt Kenseth
38 22 -16 Danica Patrick
39 13 -26 Kyle Larson
40 39 -1 Derrike Cope
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 1 +14.4
3 Ryan Blaney 8.2 3 +5.2
4 Chase Elliott 10.1 4 +6.1
5 Denny Hamlin 6.2 5 +1.2
6 Chris Buescher 9.2 6 +3.2
11 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 11 +8.9
13 Brad Keselowski 15.4 13 +2.4
14 Austin Dillon 19.9 14 +5.9
16 Ty Dillon 22.9 16 +6.9
18 Michael McDowell 16.9 18 -1.1
21 Joey Logano 11.9 21 -9.1
27 Corey LaJoie 22.2 27 -4.8
29 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 29 -9.1
30 B.J. McLeod 24.7 30 -5.3
32 A.J. Allmendinger 17.1 32 -14.9
35 Erik Jones 14.7 35 -20.3
36 Daniel Suarez 12.7 36 -23.3
39 Kyle Larson 13.1 39 -25.9

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Martin Truex, Jr.: has 33 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 40 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.4 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P5 on the day.

Explore More

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2017 Hollywood Casino 400?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2017 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for Furniture Row Racing.
Where was the 2017 Hollywood Casino 400 held?
The 2017 Hollywood Casino 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on October 22, 2017.