Ford EcoBoost 400

Homestead-Miami Speedway, November 19, 2017

Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
267
Laps
39
Entries
4
Leaders

Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2017 Ford EcoBoost 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 19, 2017, leading 78 of 267 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, November 19, 2017
Season
2017
Leaders
4 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Martin Truex, Jr.
2 3 +1 Kyle Busch
3 7 +4 Kyle Larson
4 9 +5 Kevin Harvick
5 18 +13 Chase Elliott
6 19 +13 Joey Logano
7 5 -2 Brad Keselowski
8 4 -4 Matt Kenseth
9 1 -8 Denny Hamlin
10 21 +11 Ryan Newman
11 17 +6 Austin Dillon
12 16 +4 Clint Bowyer
13 13 Jamie McMurray
14 26 +12 A.J. Allmendinger
15 6 -9 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
16 15 -1 Paul Menard
17 30 +13 David Ragan
18 20 +2 Aric Almirola
19 12 -7 Trevor Bayne
20 29 +9 Chris Buescher
21 14 -7 Erik Jones
22 8 -14 Kurt Busch
23 28 +5 Landon Cassill
24 23 -1 Michael McDowell
25 24 -1 Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
26 32 +6 Ty Dillon
27 22 -5 Jimmie Johnson
28 33 +5 Cole Whitt
29 11 -18 Ryan Blaney
30 31 +1 Matt DiBenedetto
31 34 +3 Corey LaJoie
32 36 +4 Jeffrey Earnhardt
33 27 -6 Kasey Kahne
34 10 -24 Daniel Suarez
35 37 +2 Reed Sorenson
36 38 +2 David Starr
37 25 -12 Danica Patrick
38 39 +1 Ray Black, Jr.
39 35 -4 Joey Gase
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 19 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 1 +14.4
3 Kyle Larson 13.1 3 +10.1
5 Chase Elliott 10.1 5 +5.1
6 Joey Logano 11.9 6 +5.9
7 Brad Keselowski 15.4 7 +8.4
9 Denny Hamlin 6.2 9 -2.8
11 Austin Dillon 19.9 11 +8.9
14 A.J. Allmendinger 17.1 14 +3.1
15 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 15 +4.9
20 Chris Buescher 9.2 20 -10.8
21 Erik Jones 14.7 21 -6.3
24 Michael McDowell 16.9 24 -7.1
26 Ty Dillon 22.9 26 -3.1
27 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 27 -7.1
29 Ryan Blaney 8.2 29 -20.8
31 Corey LaJoie 22.2 31 -8.8
34 Daniel Suarez 12.7 34 -21.3
36 David Starr 21.0 36 -15.0
39 Joey Gase 22.9 39 -16.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Martin Truex, Jr.: has 20 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 11.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 10.5 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P9 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2017 Ford EcoBoost 400?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2017 Ford EcoBoost 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway driving for Furniture Row Racing.
Where was the 2017 Ford EcoBoost 400 held?
The 2017 Ford EcoBoost 400 was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 19, 2017.