Pure Michigan 400
Michigan International Speedway — August 13, 2017
Kyle Larson
Winner
267
Laps
40
Entries
7
Leaders
Kyle Larson won the 2017 Pure Michigan 400 at Michigan International Speedway on August 13, 2017, leading 2 of 267 laps. Martin Truex, Jr. finished second; Erik Jones rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, August 13, 2017
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | Kyle Larson |
| 2 | 2 | — | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 3 | 8 | +5 | Erik Jones |
| 4 | 21 | +17 | Ryan Newman |
| 5 | 20 | +15 | Trevor Bayne |
| 6 | 25 | +19 | Chris Buescher |
| 7 | 22 | +15 | Austin Dillon |
| 8 | 12 | +4 | Chase Elliott |
| 9 | 10 | +1 | Jamie McMurray |
| 10 | 9 | -1 | Kyle Busch |
| 11 | 17 | +6 | Kurt Busch |
| 12 | 30 | +18 | Aric Almirola |
| 13 | 19 | +6 | Kevin Harvick |
| 14 | 18 | +4 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 15 | 3 | -12 | Ryan Blaney |
| 16 | 15 | -1 | Denny Hamlin |
| 17 | 1 | -16 | Brad Keselowski |
| 18 | 29 | +11 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 19 | 16 | -3 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 20 | 23 | +3 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 21 | — | — | Joey Logano |
| 22 | — | — | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 23 | — | — | Landon Cassill |
| 24 | — | — | Cole Whitt |
| 25 | — | — | Reed Sorenson |
| 26 | — | — | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 27 | — | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 28 | — | — | Gray Gaulding |
| 29 | — | — | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 30 | — | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 31 | — | — | Brett Moffitt |
| 32 | — | — | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 33 | — | — | Ryan Newman |
| 34 | — | — | Jamie McMurray |
| 35 | — | — | Erik Jones |
| 36 | — | — | Daniel Suarez |
| 37 | 11 | -26 | Daniel Suarez |
| 38 | — | — | Danica Patrick |
| 39 | — | — | Kyle Larson |
| 40 | — | — | Derrike Cope |
* Laps led data may be incomplete for this race.
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Kyle Larson | 2 | 3 | — | 17 |
| Brad Keselowski | 4 | 2 | — | 16 |
| Chase Elliott | 5 | 4 | — | 13 |
| Ryan Blaney | 3 | 6 | — | 13 |
| Jamie McMurray | 6 | 8 | — | 8 |
| Dale Earnhardt, Jr. | 10 | 7 | — | 5 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 7 | 10 | — | 5 |
| Kyle Busch | 8 | 17 | — | 3 |
| Ryan Newman | 11 | 9 | — | 2 |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Whitt | — | — | — | — |
| Reed Sorenson | — | — | — | — |
| Jeffrey Earnhardt | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Gray Gaulding | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Brett Moffitt | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Jamie McMurray | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Danica Patrick | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Larson | — | — | — | — |
| Derrike Cope | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.1 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 1 | +11.7 |
| 2 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 2 | +13.4 |
| 3 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 3 | +13.7 |
| 6 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 6 | +3.2 |
| 7 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 7 | +10.1 |
| 8 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 8 | -0.2 |
| 10 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 10 | +7.0 |
| 15 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 15 | -5.8 |
| 16 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 16 | -7.8 |
| 17 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 17 | -5.8 |
| 18 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 18 | +1.9 |
| 19 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 19 | +0.9 |
| 20 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 20 | -1.7 |
| 21 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 21 | -6.3 |
| 27 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 27 | -4.8 |
| 30 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 30 | -5.2 |
| 36 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 36 | -22.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Larson: has 21 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 17 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 10.1 avg finish, finishing P8 on the day.
- Erik Jones: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P17. Track history: 14 starts, 13.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 Pure Michigan 400?
Kyle Larson won the 2017 Pure Michigan 400 at Michigan International Speedway driving for Chip Ganassi Racing.
Where was the 2017 Pure Michigan 400 held?
The 2017 Pure Michigan 400 was held at Michigan International Speedway on August 13, 2017.