I Love New York 355 at The Glen

Watkins Glen International — August 6, 2017

Martin Truex, Jr.

Winner

175

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2017 I Love New York 355 at The Glen at Watkins Glen International on August 6, 2017, leading 24 of 175 laps. Matt Kenseth finished second; Daniel Suarez rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Sunday, August 6, 2017

Track

Watkins Glen International

Season

2017

Winner

Martin Truex, Jr.

Leaders

6 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Team	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	1	—	Martin Truex, Jr.	Furniture Row Racing	90	Winner	Running	24	58
2	4	+2	Matt Kenseth	Joe Gibbs Racing	90	—	Running	—	43
3	5	+2	Daniel Suarez	Joe Gibbs Racing	90	—	Running	14	44
4	6	+2	Denny Hamlin	Joe Gibbs Racing	90	—	Running	—	38
5	19	+14	Clint Bowyer	Stewart-Haas Racing	90	—	Running	—	32
6	13	+7	Kurt Busch	Stewart-Haas Racing	90	—	Running	—	34
7	2	-5	Kyle Busch	Joe Gibbs Racing	90	—	Running	21	42
8	11	+3	Ryan Blaney	Wood Brothers Racing	90	—	Running	2	36
9	27	+18	A.J. Allmendinger	JTG Daugherty Racing	90	—	Running	—	32
10	10	—	Erik Jones	Furniture Row Racing	90	—	Running	—	33
11	22	+11	Chris Buescher	JTG Daugherty Racing	90	—	Running	—	26
12	30	+18	Michael McDowell	Leavine Family Racing	90	—	Running	—	25
13	12	-1	Chase Elliott	Hendrick Motorsports	90	—	Running	9	32
14	26	+12	Jamie McMurray	Chip Ganassi Racing	90	—	Running	—	28
15	16	+1	Brad Keselowski	Team Penske	90	—	Running	20	32
16	21	+5	Kasey Kahne	Hendrick Motorsports	90	—	Running	—	23
17	9	-8	Kevin Harvick	Stewart-Haas Racing	90	—	Running	—	20
18	25	+7	Paul Menard	Richard Childress Racing	90	—	Running	—	19
19	29	+10	Ty Dillon	Germain Racing	90	—	Running	—	18
20	15	-5	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	Roush Fenway Racing	90	—	Running	—	18
21	—	—	Danica Patrick	Stewart Haas Racing	175	—	Accident	—	16
22	—	—	A.J. Allmendinger	JTG-Daugherty Racing	172	—	Accident	—	15
23	—	—	Martin Truex, Jr.	Barney Visser	171	—	Accident	—	14
24	—	—	Jimmie Johnson	Rick Hendrick	171	—	Parked	—	23
25	—	—	Kurt Busch	Stewart Haas Racing	171	—	Accident	—	21
26	—	—	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	Jack Roush	171	—	Accident	—	18
27	—	—	Kyle Busch	Joe Gibbs	171	—	Accident	—	12
28	—	—	Landon Cassill	Bob Jenkins	171	—	Accident	—	9
29	—	—	Austin Dillon	Richard Childress	171	—	Accident	—	13
30	—	—	Michael McDowell	Leavine Family Racing	171	—	Accident	—	11
31	—	—	Matt DiBenedetto	Archie St. Hilaire	171	—	Parked	—	6
32	—	—	Joey Gase	BK Racing	164	—	Accident	—	0
33	—	—	D.J. Kennington	Jay Robinson	164	—	Accident	—	4
34	—	—	Cole Whitt	Bryan Smith	155	—	Accident	—	3
35	—	—	Clint Bowyer	Stewart Haas Racing	155	—	Accident	—	15
36	—	—	Erik Jones	Barney Visser	26	—	Accident	—	1
37	—	—	Jamie McMurray	Chip Ganassi	25	—	Accident	—	1
38	—	—	Jeffrey Earnhardt	Joe Falk	25	—	Accident	—	1
39	—	—	Mark Thompson	Jay Robinson	25	—	Accident	—	0
40	—	—	Justin Marks	Tommy Baldwin, Jr.	16	—	Accident	—	0

* Laps led data may be incomplete for this race.

Stage Results

Driver	Stage 1	Stage 2	Stage 3	Stage Pts
Martin Truex, Jr.	3	2	—	17
Kyle Busch	2	4	—	16
Brad Keselowski	1	8	—	13
Chase Elliott	7	3	—	12
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	4	—	—	7
Denny Hamlin	10	6	—	6
Kevin Harvick	8	—	—	3
Jamie McMurray	—	9	—	2
Clint Bowyer	—	10	—	1
Matt Kenseth	—	—	—	—
Daniel Suarez	—	—	—	—
Kurt Busch	—	—	—	—
Ryan Blaney	—	—	—	—
A.J. Allmendinger	—	—	—	—
Erik Jones	—	—	—	—
Chris Buescher	—	—	—	—
Michael McDowell	—	—	—	—
Kasey Kahne	—	—	—	—
Paul Menard	—	—	—	—
Ty Dillon	—	—	—	—
Danica Patrick	—	—	—	—
A.J. Allmendinger	—	—	—	—
Martin Truex, Jr.	—	—	—	—
Jimmie Johnson	—	—	—	—
Kurt Busch	—	—	—	—
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	—	—	—	—
Kyle Busch	—	—	—	—
Landon Cassill	—	—	—	—
Austin Dillon	—	—	—	—
Michael McDowell	—	—	—	—
Matt DiBenedetto	—	—	—	—
Joey Gase	—	—	—	—
D.J. Kennington	—	—	—	—
Cole Whitt	—	—	—	—
Clint Bowyer	—	—	—	—
Erik Jones	—	—	—	—
Jamie McMurray	—	—	—	—
Jeffrey Earnhardt	—	—	—	—
Mark Thompson	—	—	—	—
Justin Marks	—	—	—	—

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.9 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Martin Truex, Jr.	16.5	1	+15.5	Coinflip
3	Daniel Suarez	16.8	3	+13.8	Moderate
4	Denny Hamlin	16.7	4	+12.7	Moderate
7	Kyle Busch	13.0	7	+6.0	Coinflip
8	Ryan Blaney	12.7	8	+4.7	Moderate
9	A.J. Allmendinger	16.5	9	+7.5	Coinflip
10	Erik Jones	21.4	10	+11.4	High Confidence
11	Chris Buescher	10.2	11	-0.8	High Confidence
12	Michael McDowell	13.0	12	+1.0	Moderate
13	Chase Elliott	7.2	13	-5.8	High Confidence
15	Brad Keselowski	16.7	15	+1.7	High Confidence
19	Ty Dillon	21.4	19	+2.4	High Confidence
20	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	21.4	20	+1.4	High Confidence
24	Jimmie Johnson	16.7	24	-7.3	Moderate
29	Austin Dillon	21.4	29	-7.6	Moderate
32	Joey Gase	20.8	32	-11.2	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Martin Truex, Jr.: has 19 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 11.8 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 14 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 14.3 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P13 on the day.

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