Hollywood Casino 400
Kansas Speedway — October 21, 2018
Chase Elliott
Winner
267
Laps
22
Entries
8
Leaders
Chase Elliott won the 2018 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway on October 21, 2018, leading 44 of 267 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 21, 2018
Track
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | +30 | Chase Elliott |
| 2 | 2 | — | Kyle Busch |
| 3 | 3 | — | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 4 | — | Erik Jones |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 6 | 11 | +5 | Brad Keselowski |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Ryan Blaney |
| 8 | 6 | -2 | Joey Logano |
| 9 | 28 | +19 | Alex Bowman |
| 10 | 27 | +17 | Aric Almirola |
| 11 | 5 | -6 | Austin Dillon |
| 12 | 10 | -2 | Kevin Harvick |
| 13 | 26 | +13 | Clint Bowyer |
| 14 | 25 | +11 | Denny Hamlin |
| 15 | 9 | -6 | Ryan Newman |
| 16 | 12 | -4 | Chris Buescher |
| 17 | 15 | -2 | Jamie McMurray |
| 18 | 7 | -11 | Kurt Busch |
| 19 | 21 | +2 | David Ragan |
| 20 | 16 | -4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 21 | 32 | +11 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 26 | 19 | -7 | Bubba Wallace |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Kyle Busch | 2 | 3 | — | 17 |
| Brad Keselowski | 4 | 2 | — | 16 |
| Joey Logano | 3 | 6 | — | 13 |
| Erik Jones | 8 | 5 | — | 9 |
| Kyle Larson | 6 | 8 | — | 8 |
| Denny Hamlin | 10 | 4 | — | 8 |
| Clint Bowyer | 9 | 9 | — | 4 |
| Kurt Busch | 7 | — | — | 4 |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Jamie McMurray | — | — | — | — |
| David Ragan | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.2 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 1 | +6.8 |
| 2 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 2 | +15.0 |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 3 | +9.7 |
| 4 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 4 | +12.7 |
| 5 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 5 | +10.4 |
| 6 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 6 | +5.2 |
| 7 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 7 | +2.2 |
| 8 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 8 | +6.7 |
| 9 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 9 | +4.5 |
| 11 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 11 | +6.1 |
| 14 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 14 | -5.8 |
| 16 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 16 | -6.8 |
| 20 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 20 | -0.1 |
| 21 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 21 | -2.7 |
| 26 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 26 | -13.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chase Elliott: has 22 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 9.4 avg finish (2 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 54 starts, 13.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 Hollywood Casino 400?
Chase Elliott won the 2018 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2018 Hollywood Casino 400 held?
The 2018 Hollywood Casino 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on October 21, 2018.