Pennzoil 400
Las Vegas Motor Speedway, March 4, 2018
Kevin Harvick
Winner
267
Laps
37
Entries
6
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2018 Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 4, 2018, leading 214 of 267 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, March 4, 2018
Track
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 13 | +11 | Kyle Busch |
| 3 | 5 | +2 | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 4 | — | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Ryan Blaney |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Brad Keselowski |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | Joey Logano |
| 8 | 9 | +1 | Erik Jones |
| 9 | 12 | +3 | Paul Menard |
| 10 | 29 | +19 | Aric Almirola |
| 11 | 25 | +14 | Ryan Newman |
| 12 | 14 | +2 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 13 | 16 | +3 | Austin Dillon |
| 14 | 7 | -7 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 15 | 28 | +13 | Chris Buescher |
| 16 | 20 | +4 | Alex Bowman |
| 17 | 19 | +2 | Denny Hamlin |
| 18 | 11 | -7 | Clint Bowyer |
| 19 | 21 | +2 | Kasey Kahne |
| 20 | 24 | +4 | Trevor Bayne |
| 21 | 26 | +5 | Bubba Wallace |
| 22 | 32 | +10 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 23 | 23 | — | David Ragan |
| 24 | 31 | +7 | Ty Dillon |
| 25 | 30 | +5 | Cole Custer |
| 26 | 18 | -8 | Daniel Suarez |
| 27 | 17 | -10 | William Byron |
| 28 | 34 | +6 | Cole Whitt |
| 29 | 33 | +4 | Ross Chastain |
| 30 | 27 | -3 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 31 | 36 | +5 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 32 | 37 | +5 | Joey Gase |
| 33 | 35 | +2 | Gray Gaulding |
| 34 | 6 | -28 | Chase Elliott |
| 35 | 3 | -32 | Kurt Busch |
| 36 | 22 | -14 | Jamie McMurray |
| 37 | 15 | -22 | Michael McDowell |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 22 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 3 | +10.1 |
| 4 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 4 | +11.4 |
| 5 | Ryan Blaney | 8.2 | 5 | +3.2 |
| 6 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 6 | +9.4 |
| 7 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 7 | +4.9 |
| 8 | Erik Jones | 14.7 | 8 | +6.7 |
| 12 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 12 | +7.9 |
| 13 | Austin Dillon | 19.9 | 13 | +6.9 |
| 14 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 14 | +5.9 |
| 15 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 15 | -5.8 |
| 16 | Alex Bowman | 16.2 | 16 | +0.2 |
| 17 | Denny Hamlin | 6.2 | 17 | -10.8 |
| 21 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 21 | -8.3 |
| 24 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 24 | -1.1 |
| 25 | Cole Custer | 22.0 | 25 | -3.0 |
| 26 | Daniel Suarez | 12.7 | 26 | -13.3 |
| 27 | William Byron | 10.7 | 27 | -16.3 |
| 29 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 29 | -14.5 |
| 30 | A.J. Allmendinger | 17.1 | 30 | -12.9 |
| 32 | Joey Gase | 22.9 | 32 | -9.1 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 41 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.3 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 35 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P17 on the day.
- Martin Truex, Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P15. Track history: 26 starts, 9.7 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 Pennzoil 400?
Kevin Harvick won the 2018 Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2018 Pennzoil 400 held?
The 2018 Pennzoil 400 was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 4, 2018.