Pennzoil 400
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — March 4, 2018
Kevin Harvick
Winner
267
Laps
38
Entries
6
Leaders
Kevin Harvick won the 2018 Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 4, 2018, leading 214 of 267 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, March 4, 2018
Track
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Kevin Harvick |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Kyle Busch |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 3 | -1 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 5 | 14 | +9 | Ryan Blaney |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Brad Keselowski |
| 7 | 18 | +11 | Joey Logano |
| 8 | 11 | +3 | Erik Jones |
| 9 | 20 | +11 | Paul Menard |
| 10 | 13 | +3 | Aric Almirola |
| 11 | 21 | +10 | Ryan Newman |
| 12 | 19 | +7 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 13 | 27 | +14 | Austin Dillon |
| 14 | 5 | -9 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 15 | 16 | +1 | Chris Buescher |
| 16 | 15 | -1 | Alex Bowman |
| 17 | 10 | -7 | Denny Hamlin |
| 18 | 12 | -6 | Clint Bowyer |
| 19 | 25 | +6 | Kasey Kahne |
| 20 | 22 | +2 | Trevor Bayne |
| 21 | — | — | Trevor Bayne |
| 22 | — | — | Ryan Blaney |
| 23 | — | — | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 24 | — | — | Paul Menard |
| 25 | — | — | Bubba Wallace |
| 26 | — | — | Chris Buescher |
| 27 | — | — | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 28 | — | — | Ross Chastain |
| 29 | — | — | Kasey Kahne |
| 30 | — | — | Cole Whitt |
| 31 | — | — | Michael McDowell |
| 32 | — | — | Daniel Hemric |
| 33 | — | — | David Ragan |
| 34 | — | — | Landon Cassill |
| 35 | — | — | Gray Gaulding |
| 36 | — | — | Harrison Rhodes |
| 37 | 29 | -8 | Michael McDowell |
| 38 | — | — | Reed Sorenson |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Harvick | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Kyle Busch | 2 | 3 | — | 17 |
| Brad Keselowski | 3 | 2 | — | 17 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 8 | 4 | — | 10 |
| Clint Bowyer | 7 | 5 | — | 10 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Ryan Blaney | 10 | 8 | — | 4 |
| Joey Logano | 9 | 10 | — | 3 |
| Kyle Larson | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Denny Hamlin | — | — | — | — |
| Kasey Kahne | — | — | — | — |
| Trevor Bayne | — | — | — | — |
| Trevor Bayne | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Kasey Kahne | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Whitt | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| David Ragan | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Gray Gaulding | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Rhodes | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Reed Sorenson | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.6 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 2 | +15.0 |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 3 | +9.7 |
| 4 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 4 | +11.4 |
| 5 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 5 | +4.2 |
| 6 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 6 | +5.2 |
| 7 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 7 | +7.7 |
| 8 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 8 | +8.7 |
| 12 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 12 | +7.9 |
| 13 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 13 | +4.1 |
| 14 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 14 | +5.9 |
| 15 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 15 | -5.8 |
| 16 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 16 | -2.5 |
| 17 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 17 | -8.8 |
| 25 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 25 | -12.3 |
| 27 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 27 | -8.7 |
| 28 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 28 | -14.7 |
| 31 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 31 | -14.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kevin Harvick: has 41 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 11.9 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 37 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 13.2 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P17 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 52 starts, 11.3 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 Pennzoil 400?
Kevin Harvick won the 2018 Pennzoil 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2018 Pennzoil 400 held?
The 2018 Pennzoil 400 was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 4, 2018.