GEICO 500
Talladega Superspeedway — April 28, 2019
Chase Elliott
Winner
188
Laps
24
Entries
15
Leaders
Chase Elliott won the 2019 GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway on April 28, 2019, leading 45 of 188 laps. Alex Bowman finished second; Ryan Preece rounded out the podium. The race featured 15 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, April 28, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
15 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +6 | Chase Elliott |
| 2 | 9 | +7 | Alex Bowman |
| 3 | 26 | +23 | Ryan Preece |
| 4 | 1 | -3 | Joey Logano |
| 5 | 24 | +19 | Daniel Hemric |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Kurt Busch |
| 7 | 18 | +11 | Ryan Newman |
| 8 | 39 | +31 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 9 | 11 | +2 | Aric Almirola |
| 10 | 2 | -8 | Kyle Busch |
| 11 | 30 | +19 | Corey LaJoie |
| 12 | 15 | +3 | Daniel Suarez |
| 13 | 3 | -10 | Brad Keselowski |
| 14 | 21 | +7 | Austin Dillon |
| 15 | 10 | -5 | Ryan Blaney |
| 16 | 20 | +4 | Paul Menard |
| 17 | 23 | +6 | Ty Dillon |
| 18 | — | — | Reed Sorenson |
| 19 | 17 | -2 | Erik Jones |
| 20 | 5 | -15 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 24 | 13 | -11 | Kyle Larson |
| 25 | 19 | -6 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 26 | 38 | +12 | Ross Chastain |
| 31 | 25 | -6 | Matt DiBenedetto |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Elliott | 5 | 4 | — | 13 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 2 | 8 | — | 12 |
| Joey Logano | 1 | 10 | — | 11 |
| Austin Dillon | — | 1 | — | 10 |
| Alex Bowman | — | 2 | — | 9 |
| Ryan Blaney | 3 | — | — | 8 |
| Daniel Suarez | 6 | — | — | 5 |
| Kyle Larson | — | 6 | — | 5 |
| Brad Keselowski | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Brendan Gaughan | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Reed Sorenson | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.3 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Elliott | 10.4 | 1 | +9.4 |
| 2 | Alex Bowman | 15.1 | 2 | +13.1 |
| 3 | Ryan Preece | 21.1 | 3 | +18.1 |
| 4 | Joey Logano | 20.5 | 4 | +16.5 |
| 10 | Kyle Busch | 15.1 | 10 | +5.1 |
| 11 | Corey LaJoie | 23.3 | 11 | +12.3 |
| 12 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 12 | +3.1 |
| 13 | Brad Keselowski | 16.0 | 13 | +3.0 |
| 14 | Austin Dillon | 23.4 | 14 | +9.4 |
| 15 | Ryan Blaney | 13.9 | 15 | -1.1 |
| 17 | Ty Dillon | 21.1 | 17 | +4.1 |
| 19 | Erik Jones | 18.5 | 19 | -0.5 |
| 20 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 20.1 | 20 | +0.1 |
| 24 | Kyle Larson | 18.5 | 24 | -5.5 |
| 25 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18.5 | 25 | -6.5 |
| 26 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 26 | -8.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chase Elliott: has 22 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 14.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Ryan Preece: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P21. Track history: 13 starts, 16.1 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 GEICO 500?
Chase Elliott won the 2019 GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2019 GEICO 500 held?
The 2019 GEICO 500 was held at Talladega Superspeedway on April 28, 2019.