Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube

Las Vegas Motor Speedway, March 3, 2019

Joey Logano
Winner
267
Laps
38
Entries
9
Leaders

Joey Logano won the 2019 Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 3, 2019, leading 86 of 267 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, March 3, 2019
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 10 +9 Joey Logano
2 19 +17 Brad Keselowski
3 3 Kyle Busch
4 1 -3 Kevin Harvick
5 28 +23 Kurt Busch
6 8 +2 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
7 25 +18 Aric Almirola
8 23 +15 Martin Truex, Jr.
9 12 +3 Chase Elliott
10 2 -8 Denny Hamlin
11 11 Alex Bowman
12 7 -5 Kyle Larson
13 18 +5 Erik Jones
14 17 +3 Clint Bowyer
15 15 Paul Menard
16 20 +4 William Byron
17 22 +5 Daniel Suarez
18 27 +9 Chris Buescher
19 9 -10 Jimmie Johnson
20 4 -16 Austin Dillon
21 26 +5 Matt DiBenedetto
22 13 -9 Ryan Blaney
23 5 -18 Daniel Hemric
24 29 +5 Ryan Newman
25 24 -1 Ryan Preece
26 21 -5 Bubba Wallace
27 30 +3 Corey LaJoie
28 6 -22 David Ragan
29 14 -15 Ty Dillon
30 16 -14 Michael McDowell
31 32 +1 Parker Kligerman
32 31 -1 Landon Cassill
33 38 +5 Ross Chastain
34 35 +1 Matt Tifft
35 33 -2 Cody Ware
36 37 +1 Reed Sorenson
37 34 -3 B.J. McLeod
38 36 -2 Joey Gase
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 24 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.7 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Joey Logano 11.9 1 +10.9
2 Brad Keselowski 15.4 2 +13.4
6 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 6 +13.9
8 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 8 +7.4
9 Chase Elliott 10.1 9 +1.1
10 Denny Hamlin 6.2 10 -3.8
11 Alex Bowman 16.2 11 +5.2
12 Kyle Larson 13.1 12 +1.1
13 Erik Jones 14.7 13 +1.7
16 William Byron 10.7 16 -5.3
17 Daniel Suarez 12.7 17 -4.3
18 Chris Buescher 9.2 18 -8.8
19 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 19 +0.9
20 Austin Dillon 19.9 20 -0.1
22 Ryan Blaney 8.2 22 -13.8
25 Ryan Preece 13.3 25 -11.7
26 Bubba Wallace 12.7 26 -13.3
27 Corey LaJoie 22.2 27 -4.8
29 Ty Dillon 22.9 29 -6.1
30 Michael McDowell 16.9 30 -13.1

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Joey Logano: has 27 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 9.5 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 35 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P10 on the day.
  • Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P35 vs predicted P57. Track history: 12 starts, 31.8 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2019 Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube?
Joey Logano won the 2019 Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube at Las Vegas Motor Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2019 Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube held?
The 2019 Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 3, 2019.