Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — March 3, 2019
Joey Logano
Winner
267
Laps
20
Entries
9
Leaders
Joey Logano won the 2019 Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 3, 2019, leading 86 of 267 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, March 3, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Joey Logano |
| 2 | 9 | +7 | Brad Keselowski |
| 3 | 22 | +19 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | Kevin Harvick |
| 5 | 19 | +14 | Kurt Busch |
| 6 | 20 | +14 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 7 | 7 | — | Aric Almirola |
| 8 | 13 | +5 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 9 | 1 | -8 | Chase Elliott |
| 10 | 8 | -2 | Denny Hamlin |
| 11 | 5 | -6 | Alex Bowman |
| 12 | 3 | -9 | Kyle Larson |
| 13 | 15 | +2 | Erik Jones |
| 14 | 10 | -4 | Clint Bowyer |
| 15 | 18 | +3 | Paul Menard |
| 16 | 2 | -14 | William Byron |
| 17 | 14 | -3 | Daniel Suarez |
| 18 | 30 | +12 | Chris Buescher |
| 19 | 12 | -7 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 20 | 16 | -4 | Austin Dillon |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Keselowski | 2 | 5 | — | 15 |
| Chase Elliott | 3 | 4 | — | 15 |
| Kevin Harvick | 5 | 3 | — | 14 |
| Alex Bowman | 7 | 2 | — | 13 |
| Kyle Larson | 4 | 6 | — | 12 |
| Joey Logano | 1 | — | — | 10 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | — | 1 | — | 10 |
| William Byron | 6 | — | — | 5 |
| Kyle Busch | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Erik Jones | 9 | 10 | — | 3 |
| Clint Bowyer | 10 | 9 | — | 3 |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Denny Hamlin | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 5.9 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 1 | +13.7 |
| 2 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 2 | +9.2 |
| 3 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 3 | +14.0 |
| 6 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 6 | +13.9 |
| 8 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 8 | +7.4 |
| 9 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 9 | -1.2 |
| 10 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 10 | -1.8 |
| 11 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 11 | +2.5 |
| 12 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 12 | +0.7 |
| 13 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 13 | +3.7 |
| 16 | William Byron | 10.7 | 16 | -5.3 |
| 17 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 17 | -3.0 |
| 18 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 18 | -8.8 |
| 19 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 19 | +0.9 |
| 20 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 20 | -2.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Joey Logano: has 28 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 10.3 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish, finishing P9 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P17. Track history: 52 starts, 11.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube?
Joey Logano won the 2019 Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube at Las Vegas Motor Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2019 Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube held?
The 2019 Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 3, 2019.