South Point 400
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — September 15, 2019
Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
267
Laps
23
Entries
14
Leaders
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2019 South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on September 15, 2019, leading 32 of 267 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Brad Keselowski rounded out the podium. The race featured 14 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, September 15, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
14 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 2 | 22 | +20 | Kevin Harvick |
| 3 | 15 | +12 | Brad Keselowski |
| 4 | 2 | -2 | Chase Elliott |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Ryan Blaney |
| 6 | 19 | +13 | Alex Bowman |
| 7 | 11 | +4 | William Byron |
| 8 | 14 | +6 | Kyle Larson |
| 9 | 10 | +1 | Joey Logano |
| 10 | 35 | +25 | Ryan Newman |
| 11 | 24 | +13 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 12 | 23 | +11 | Austin Dillon |
| 13 | 4 | -9 | Aric Almirola |
| 14 | 28 | +14 | Paul Menard |
| 15 | 1 | -14 | Denny Hamlin |
| 16 | 27 | +11 | Ty Dillon |
| 17 | 18 | +1 | Daniel Hemric |
| 18 | 20 | +2 | Chris Buescher |
| 19 | 13 | -6 | Kyle Busch |
| 20 | 9 | -11 | Daniel Suarez |
| 21 | 12 | -9 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 24 | 5 | -19 | Michael McDowell |
| 25 | 7 | -18 | Clint Bowyer |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Ryan Blaney | 3 | 3 | — | 16 |
| Joey Logano | 5 | 4 | — | 13 |
| Denny Hamlin | 2 | 8 | — | 12 |
| William Byron | 6 | 6 | — | 10 |
| Aric Almirola | 7 | 5 | — | 10 |
| Kyle Larson | — | 2 | — | 9 |
| Clint Bowyer | 4 | — | — | 7 |
| Kyle Busch | 9 | 7 | — | 6 |
| Chase Elliott | 8 | — | — | 3 |
| Brad Keselowski | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Daniel Suarez | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Menard | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 1 | +14.4 |
| 3 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 3 | +8.2 |
| 4 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 4 | +3.8 |
| 5 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 5 | +4.2 |
| 6 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 6 | +7.5 |
| 7 | William Byron | 10.7 | 7 | +3.7 |
| 8 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 8 | +4.7 |
| 9 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 9 | +5.7 |
| 11 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 11 | +8.9 |
| 12 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 12 | +5.1 |
| 15 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 15 | -6.8 |
| 16 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 16 | +7.4 |
| 18 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 18 | -8.8 |
| 19 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 19 | -2.0 |
| 20 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 20 | -6.0 |
| 24 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 24 | -7.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Martin Truex, Jr.: has 27 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 10.6 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish, finishing P4 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 South Point 400?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2019 South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2019 South Point 400 held?
The 2019 South Point 400 was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on September 15, 2019.