Federated Auto Parts 400
Richmond Raceway — September 12, 2020
Brad Keselowski
Winner
400
Laps
21
Entries
9
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond Raceway on September 12, 2020, leading 192 of 400 laps. Martin Truex, Jr. finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, September 12, 2020
Track
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Joey Logano |
| 4 | 12 | +8 | Austin Dillon |
| 5 | 4 | -1 | Chase Elliott |
| 6 | 9 | +3 | Kyle Busch |
| 7 | 1 | -6 | Kevin Harvick |
| 8 | 13 | +5 | Aric Almirola |
| 9 | 5 | -4 | Alex Bowman |
| 10 | 21 | +11 | Clint Bowyer |
| 11 | 19 | +8 | Tyler Reddick |
| 12 | 7 | -5 | Denny Hamlin |
| 13 | 8 | -5 | Kurt Busch |
| 14 | 16 | +2 | Cole Custer |
| 15 | 15 | — | Christopher Bell |
| 16 | 32 | +16 | Matt Kenseth |
| 17 | 14 | -3 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 18 | 22 | +4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 19 | 10 | -9 | Ryan Blaney |
| 20 | 29 | +9 | Ryan Preece |
| 33 | 31 | -2 | Brennan Poole |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 2 | 2 | — | 18 |
| Clint Bowyer | 1 | 8 | — | 13 |
| Ryan Blaney | 4 | 5 | — | 13 |
| Kyle Busch | 12 | 1 | — | 10 |
| Alex Bowman | 17 | 3 | — | 8 |
| Brad Keselowski | 16 | 4 | — | 7 |
| Austin Dillon | 9 | 7 | — | 6 |
| Christopher Bell | 18 | 6 | — | 5 |
| Chase Elliott | 7 | 27 | — | 4 |
| Joey Logano | 8 | 15 | — | 3 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 21 | 9 | — | 2 |
| Kevin Harvick | 15 | 10 | — | 1 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | 10 | 18 | — | 1 |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.9 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 1 | +11.0 |
| 2 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 2 | +11.8 |
| 3 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 3 | +9.1 |
| 4 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 4 | +13.0 |
| 5 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 5 | +3.3 |
| 6 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 6 | +9.6 |
| 9 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 9 | +5.0 |
| 11 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 11 | -1.1 |
| 12 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 12 | -5.2 |
| 14 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 14 | +9.0 |
| 15 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 15 | -6.4 |
| 18 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 18 | +2.1 |
| 19 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 19 | -12.2 |
| 20 | Ryan Preece | 10.8 | 20 | -9.2 |
| 33 | Brennan Poole | 23.1 | 33 | -9.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 26 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 14.1 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 9.8 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P12 on the day.
- Austin Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P17. Track history: 18 starts, 16.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400?
Brad Keselowski won the 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond Raceway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 held?
The 2020 Federated Auto Parts 400 was held at Richmond Raceway on September 12, 2020.