Hollywood Casino 400

Kansas Speedway — October 18, 2020

Joey Logano
Winner
267
Laps
23
Entries
11
Leaders

Joey Logano won the 2020 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway on October 18, 2020, leading 47 of 267 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Alex Bowman rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 18, 2020
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 3 +2 Joey Logano
2 20 +18 Kevin Harvick
3 19 +16 Alex Bowman
4 8 +4 Brad Keselowski
5 28 +23 Kyle Busch
6 17 +11 Chase Elliott
7 5 -2 Ryan Blaney
8 34 +26 William Byron
9 15 +6 Martin Truex, Jr.
10 24 +14 Christopher Bell
11 10 -1 Austin Dillon
12 7 -5 Matt DiBenedetto
13 9 -4 Aric Almirola
14 22 +8 Cole Custer
15 16 +1 Denny Hamlin
16 39 +23 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
17 12 -5 John Hunter Nemechek
18 21 +3 Bubba Wallace
19 23 +4 Michael McDowell
20 13 -7 Erik Jones
22 6 -16 Ryan Newman
23 31 +8 Corey LaJoie
38 18 -20 Kurt Busch
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Martin Truex, Jr. 2 3 17
Chase Elliott 7 2 13
Alex Bowman 4 8 10
Joey Logano 5 9 8
Ryan Blaney 3 33 8
Denny Hamlin 8 7 7
Erik Jones 12 4 7
Kevin Harvick 15 5 6
William Byron 18 6 5
Aric Almirola 6 11 5
Matt DiBenedetto 11 10 1
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 5.4 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Joey Logano 14.7 1 +13.7
3 Alex Bowman 13.5 3 +10.5
4 Brad Keselowski 11.2 4 +7.2
5 Kyle Busch 17.0 5 +12.0
6 Chase Elliott 7.8 6 +1.8
7 Ryan Blaney 9.2 7 +2.2
8 William Byron 10.7 8 +2.7
9 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 9 +6.4
10 Christopher Bell 10.7 10 +0.7
11 Austin Dillon 17.1 11 +6.1
14 Cole Custer 22.9 14 +8.9
15 Denny Hamlin 8.2 15 -6.8
16 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 16 +3.9
17 John Hunter Nemechek 19.1 17 +2.1
18 Bubba Wallace 12.7 18 -5.3
19 Michael McDowell 17.0 19 -2.0
20 Erik Jones 16.7 20 -3.3
23 Corey LaJoie 22.2 23 -0.8

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Joey Logano: has 41 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 15.4 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 9.4 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P6 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2020 Hollywood Casino 400?
Joey Logano won the 2020 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2020 Hollywood Casino 400 held?
The 2020 Hollywood Casino 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on October 18, 2020.