Hollywood Casino 400
Kansas Speedway, October 18, 2020
Joey Logano
Winner
267
Laps
40
Entries
11
Leaders
Joey Logano won the 2020 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway on October 18, 2020, leading 47 of 267 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Alex Bowman rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 18, 2020
Track
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Joey Logano |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Kevin Harvick |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | Alex Bowman |
| 4 | 8 | +4 | Brad Keselowski |
| 5 | 20 | +15 | Kyle Busch |
| 6 | 1 | -5 | Chase Elliott |
| 7 | 9 | +2 | Ryan Blaney |
| 8 | 10 | +2 | William Byron |
| 9 | 5 | -4 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 10 | 22 | +12 | Christopher Bell |
| 11 | 17 | +6 | Austin Dillon |
| 12 | 18 | +6 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 13 | 16 | +3 | Aric Almirola |
| 14 | 13 | -1 | Cole Custer |
| 15 | 7 | -8 | Denny Hamlin |
| 16 | 23 | +7 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 17 | 32 | +15 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 18 | 24 | +6 | Bubba Wallace |
| 19 | 26 | +7 | Michael McDowell |
| 20 | 11 | -9 | Erik Jones |
| 21 | 21 | — | Chris Buescher |
| 22 | 28 | +6 | Ryan Newman |
| 23 | 29 | +6 | Corey LaJoie |
| 24 | 25 | +1 | Ty Dillon |
| 25 | 15 | -10 | Tyler Reddick |
| 26 | 12 | -14 | Clint Bowyer |
| 27 | 27 | — | Daniel Suarez |
| 28 | 35 | +7 | Brennan Poole |
| 29 | 19 | -10 | Ryan Preece |
| 30 | 34 | +4 | J.J. Yeley |
| 31 | 14 | -17 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 32 | 33 | +1 | James Davison |
| 33 | 31 | -2 | Quin Houff |
| 34 | 37 | +3 | Timmy Hill |
| 35 | 39 | +4 | Josh Bilicki |
| 36 | 36 | — | Reed Sorenson |
| 37 | 38 | +1 | Joey Gase |
| 38 | 3 | -35 | Kurt Busch |
| 39 | 40 | +1 | Chad Finchum |
| 40 | 30 | -10 | Matt Kenseth |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | 3 | 1 | — | 18 |
| Chase Elliott | 1 | 5 | — | 16 |
| Ryan Blaney | 4 | 3 | — | 15 |
| Brad Keselowski | 2 | 6 | — | 14 |
| Kevin Harvick | 7 | 2 | — | 13 |
| Alex Bowman | 6 | 4 | — | 12 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 8 | 8 | — | 6 |
| Erik Jones | 5 | — | — | 6 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Joey Logano | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Kurt Busch | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Kyle Busch | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Clint Bowyer | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Bell | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Brennan Poole | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| James Davison | — | — | — | — |
| Quin Houff | — | — | — | — |
| Timmy Hill | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
| Reed Sorenson | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Gase | — | — | — | — |
| Chad Finchum | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Kenseth | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 29 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.3 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 1 | +10.9 |
| 3 | Alex Bowman | 16.2 | 3 | +13.2 |
| 4 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 4 | +11.4 |
| 6 | Chase Elliott | 10.1 | 6 | +4.1 |
| 7 | Ryan Blaney | 8.2 | 7 | +1.2 |
| 8 | William Byron | 10.7 | 8 | +2.7 |
| 9 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 9 | +6.4 |
| 10 | Christopher Bell | 9.2 | 10 | -0.8 |
| 11 | Austin Dillon | 19.9 | 11 | +8.9 |
| 14 | Cole Custer | 22.0 | 14 | +8.0 |
| 15 | Denny Hamlin | 6.2 | 15 | -8.8 |
| 16 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 16 | +3.9 |
| 17 | John Hunter Nemechek | 18.3 | 17 | +1.3 |
| 18 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 18 | -5.3 |
| 19 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 19 | -2.1 |
| 20 | Erik Jones | 14.7 | 20 | -5.3 |
| 21 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 21 | -11.8 |
| 23 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 23 | -0.8 |
| 24 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 24 | -1.1 |
| 25 | Tyler Reddick | 11.2 | 25 | -13.8 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Joey Logano: has 41 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 15.3 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 40 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.4 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P15 on the day.
- Alex Bowman: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P16. Track history: 22 starts, 14.8 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 Hollywood Casino 400?
Joey Logano won the 2020 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2020 Hollywood Casino 400 held?
The 2020 Hollywood Casino 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on October 18, 2020.