Ally 400
Nashville Superspeedway — June 20, 2021
Kyle Larson
Winner
300
Laps
22
Entries
7
Leaders
Kyle Larson won the 2021 Ally 400 at Nashville Superspeedway on June 20, 2021, leading 264 of 300 laps. Ross Chastain finished second; William Byron rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, June 20, 2021
Track
Season
2021
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Kyle Larson |
| 2 | 9 | +7 | Ross Chastain |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | William Byron |
| 4 | 18 | +14 | Aric Almirola |
| 5 | 25 | +20 | Kevin Harvick |
| 6 | 22 | +16 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 7 | 5 | -2 | Daniel Suarez |
| 8 | 20 | +12 | Kurt Busch |
| 9 | 17 | +8 | Christopher Bell |
| 10 | 7 | -3 | Joey Logano |
| 11 | 21 | +10 | Kyle Busch |
| 12 | 23 | +11 | Austin Dillon |
| 13 | 32 | +19 | Ryan Newman |
| 14 | 24 | +10 | Alex Bowman |
| 15 | 26 | +11 | Corey LaJoie |
| 16 | 12 | -4 | Michael McDowell |
| 17 | 33 | +16 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 18 | 11 | -7 | Tyler Reddick |
| 19 | 28 | +9 | Erik Jones |
| 20 | 27 | +7 | Bubba Wallace |
| 31 | 2 | -29 | Chase Briscoe |
| 39 | 3 | -36 | Chase Elliott |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Reddick | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Austin Dillon | 3 | 2 | — | 17 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 7 | 4 | — | 11 |
| Michael McDowell | 2 | 32 | — | 9 |
| Erik Jones | 4 | 37 | — | 7 |
| Corey LaJoie | 36 | 7 | — | 4 |
| Kyle Larson | 13 | 9 | — | 2 |
| Chase Briscoe | 9 | 16 | — | 2 |
| Chase Elliott | 10 | 10 | — | 2 |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.5 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 1 | +11.7 |
| 2 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 2 | +11.3 |
| 3 | William Byron | 10.7 | 3 | +7.7 |
| 6 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 6 | +13.9 |
| 7 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 7 | +7.0 |
| 9 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 9 | +1.7 |
| 10 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 10 | +4.7 |
| 11 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 11 | +6.0 |
| 12 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 12 | +5.1 |
| 14 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 14 | -0.5 |
| 15 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 15 | +7.2 |
| 16 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 16 | +1.0 |
| 17 | Anthony Alfredo | 20.9 | 17 | +3.9 |
| 18 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 18 | -11.8 |
| 19 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 19 | -2.3 |
| 20 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 20 | -7.3 |
| 31 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 31 | -19.1 |
| 39 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 39 | -31.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Larson: has 6 career starts at Nashville Superspeedway with a 8.7 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Nashville Superspeedway with a 16.0 avg finish, finishing P18 on the day.
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P20. Track history: 6 starts, 23.0 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2021 Ally 400?
Kyle Larson won the 2021 Ally 400 at Nashville Superspeedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2021 Ally 400 held?
The 2021 Ally 400 was held at Nashville Superspeedway on June 20, 2021.