Buschy McBusch Race 400
Kansas Speedway — May 2, 2021
Kyle Busch
Winner
267
Laps
21
Entries
6
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400 at Kansas Speedway on May 2, 2021, leading 20 of 267 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Brad Keselowski rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | +18 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 13 | +11 | Kevin Harvick |
| 3 | 11 | +8 | Brad Keselowski |
| 4 | 32 | +28 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 5 | 9 | +4 | Chase Elliott |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | Tyler Reddick |
| 8 | 1 | -7 | Chris Buescher |
| 9 | 18 | +9 | William Byron |
| 10 | 21 | +11 | Austin Dillon |
| 11 | 8 | -3 | Daniel Suarez |
| 12 | 17 | +5 | Denny Hamlin |
| 13 | 2 | -11 | Michael McDowell |
| 14 | 33 | +19 | Ross Chastain |
| 15 | 15 | — | Kurt Busch |
| 16 | 37 | +21 | Ryan Newman |
| 17 | 14 | -3 | Joey Logano |
| 18 | 20 | +2 | Alex Bowman |
| 19 | 12 | -7 | Kyle Larson |
| 20 | 24 | +4 | Chase Briscoe |
| 34 | 6 | -28 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Keselowski | 3 | 3 | — | 16 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 1 | 6 | — | 15 |
| William Byron | 33 | 1 | — | 10 |
| Denny Hamlin | 30 | 2 | — | 9 |
| Chase Elliott | 32 | 5 | — | 6 |
| Michael McDowell | 6 | 24 | — | 5 |
| Kyle Busch | 29 | 7 | — | 4 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 7 | 22 | — | 4 |
| Tyler Reddick | 8 | 11 | — | 3 |
| Kyle Larson | 16 | 8 | — | 3 |
| Daniel Suarez | 9 | 20 | — | 2 |
| Ross Chastain | 20 | 10 | — | 1 |
| Joey Logano | 10 | 13 | — | 1 |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 5.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 1 | +16.0 |
| 3 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 3 | +8.2 |
| 5 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 5 | +2.8 |
| 6 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 6 | +9.4 |
| 7 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 7 | -0.8 |
| 8 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 8 | +1.2 |
| 9 | William Byron | 10.7 | 9 | +1.7 |
| 10 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 10 | +7.1 |
| 11 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 11 | +3.0 |
| 12 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 12 | -3.8 |
| 13 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 13 | +4.0 |
| 14 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 14 | -0.7 |
| 17 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 17 | -2.3 |
| 18 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 18 | -4.5 |
| 19 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 19 | -6.3 |
| 20 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 20 | -8.1 |
| 34 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 34 | -14.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 54 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 13.1 avg finish (9 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 14.2 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P7 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400?
Kyle Busch won the 2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400 held?
The 2021 Buschy McBusch Race 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on May 2, 2021.