Coke Zero Sugar 400
Daytona International Speedway, August 28, 2021
Ryan Blaney
Winner
165
Laps
40
Entries
15
Leaders
Ryan Blaney won the 2021 Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway on August 28, 2021, leading 7 of 165 laps. Bubba Wallace finished second; Ryan Newman rounded out the podium. The race featured 15 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 28, 2021
Season
2021
Winner
Leaders
15 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Ryan Blaney |
| 2 | 20 | +18 | Bubba Wallace |
| 3 | 23 | +20 | Ryan Newman |
| 4 | 24 | +20 | Ryan Preece |
| 5 | 17 | +12 | Tyler Reddick |
| 6 | 28 | +22 | Justin Haley |
| 7 | 15 | +8 | Alex Bowman |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Chase Elliott |
| 9 | 30 | +21 | B.J. McLeod |
| 10 | 36 | +26 | Josh Bilicki |
| 11 | 21 | +10 | Erik Jones |
| 12 | 8 | -4 | Kurt Busch |
| 13 | 3 | -10 | Denny Hamlin |
| 14 | 19 | +5 | Aric Almirola |
| 15 | 11 | -4 | Kevin Harvick |
| 16 | 33 | +17 | Corey LaJoie |
| 17 | 27 | +10 | Austin Dillon |
| 18 | 29 | +11 | Ross Chastain |
| 19 | 26 | +7 | Daniel Suarez |
| 20 | 1 | -19 | Kyle Larson |
| 21 | 16 | -5 | Chase Briscoe |
| 22 | 12 | -10 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 23 | 22 | -1 | Joey Logano |
| 24 | 25 | +1 | Cole Custer |
| 25 | 9 | -16 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 26 | 32 | +6 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 27 | 40 | +13 | David Starr |
| 28 | 31 | +3 | Cody Ware |
| 29 | 7 | -22 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 30 | 34 | +4 | Garrett Smithley |
| 31 | 37 | +6 | Joey Gase |
| 32 | 14 | -18 | Christopher Bell |
| 33 | 10 | -23 | Brad Keselowski |
| 34 | 4 | -30 | Kyle Busch |
| 35 | 38 | +3 | Kaz Grala |
| 36 | 39 | +3 | Landon Cassill |
| 37 | 2 | -35 | William Byron |
| 38 | 35 | -3 | Quin Houff |
| 39 | 18 | -21 | Michael McDowell |
| 40 | 13 | -27 | Chris Buescher |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Dillon | 6 | 2 | — | 14 |
| Joey Logano | 8 | 1 | — | 13 |
| Kyle Busch | 3 | 8 | — | 11 |
| Chase Elliott | 1 | — | — | 10 |
| Denny Hamlin | 2 | — | — | 9 |
| William Byron | — | 3 | — | 8 |
| Tyler Reddick | — | 4 | — | 7 |
| Ross Chastain | 4 | — | — | 7 |
| Kyle Larson | — | 5 | — | 6 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 5 | — | — | 6 |
| Ryan Blaney | — | 6 | — | 5 |
| Corey LaJoie | 7 | — | — | 4 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Bubba Wallace | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Ryan Preece | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Christopher Bell | 10 | 10 | — | 2 |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Alfredo | — | — | — | — |
| David Starr | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| Garrett Smithley | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Gase | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Kaz Grala | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Quin Houff | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 30 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Blaney | 10.4 | 1 | +9.4 |
| 2 | Bubba Wallace | 16.9 | 2 | +14.9 |
| 4 | Ryan Preece | 21.1 | 4 | +17.1 |
| 5 | Tyler Reddick | 13.9 | 5 | +8.9 |
| 6 | Justin Haley | 23.4 | 6 | +17.4 |
| 7 | Alex Bowman | 17.4 | 7 | +10.4 |
| 8 | Chase Elliott | 13.6 | 8 | +5.6 |
| 9 | B.J. McLeod | 25.5 | 9 | +16.5 |
| 10 | Josh Bilicki | 23.7 | 10 | +13.7 |
| 11 | Erik Jones | 16.0 | 11 | +5.0 |
| 13 | Denny Hamlin | 15.1 | 13 | +2.1 |
| 16 | Corey LaJoie | 23.3 | 16 | +7.3 |
| 17 | Austin Dillon | 21.1 | 17 | +4.1 |
| 18 | Ross Chastain | 16.0 | 18 | -2.0 |
| 19 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 19 | -3.9 |
| 20 | Kyle Larson | 20.1 | 20 | +0.1 |
| 21 | Chase Briscoe | 20.5 | 21 | -0.5 |
| 22 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18.5 | 22 | -3.5 |
| 23 | Joey Logano | 18.5 | 23 | -4.5 |
| 24 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 24 | -1.1 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ryan Blaney: has 26 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.5 avg finish (2 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Justin Haley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P23. Track history: 25 starts, 16.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2021 Coke Zero Sugar 400?
Ryan Blaney won the 2021 Coke Zero Sugar 400 at Daytona International Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2021 Coke Zero Sugar 400 held?
The 2021 Coke Zero Sugar 400 was held at Daytona International Speedway on August 28, 2021.