M&M's Fan Appreciation 400
Pocono Raceway — July 24, 2022
Chase Elliott
Winner
160
Laps
36
Entries
10
Leaders
Chase Elliott won the 2022 M&M's Fan Appreciation 400 at Pocono Raceway on July 24, 2022. Tyler Reddick finished second; Daniel Suarez rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | +21 | Chase Elliott |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Tyler Reddick |
| 3 | 15 | +12 | Daniel Suarez |
| 4 | 4 | — | Christopher Bell |
| 5 | 7 | +2 | Kyle Larson |
| 6 | 23 | +17 | Michael McDowell |
| 7 | 12 | +5 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 8 | 6 | -2 | Bubba Wallace |
| 9 | 24 | +15 | Erik Jones |
| 10 | 11 | +1 | Austin Dillon |
| 11 | 3 | -8 | Alex Bowman |
| 12 | 9 | -3 | William Byron |
| 13 | 36 | +23 | Aric Almirola |
| 14 | 26 | +12 | Brad Keselowski |
| 15 | 13 | -2 | Chase Briscoe |
| 16 | 16 | — | Ty Gibbs |
| 17 | 29 | +12 | Cole Custer |
| 18 | 35 | +17 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 19 | 19 | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 20 | 2 | -18 | Joey Logano |
| 21 | — | — | Erik Jones |
| 22 | — | — | Landon Cassill |
| 23 | 18 | -5 | Harrison Burton |
| 24 | — | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 25 | — | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 26 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 27 | — | — | Joey Logano |
| 28 | — | — | Aric Almirola |
| 29 | — | — | Bubba Wallace |
| 30 | — | — | Ryan Blaney |
| 31 | — | — | Austin Dillon |
| 32 | 5 | -27 | Ross Chastain |
| 33 | 17 | -16 | Ryan Blaney |
| 34 | — | — | Kyle Busch |
| 35 | 25 | -10 | Denny Hamlin |
| 36 | 20 | -16 | Kyle Busch |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Bell | 1 | 2 | — | 19 |
| Bubba Wallace | 5 | 4 | — | 13 |
| Chase Elliott | 6 | 5 | — | 11 |
| Ryan Blaney | 2 | 9 | — | 11 |
| Alex Bowman | 17 | 1 | — | 10 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 3 | 14 | — | 8 |
| William Byron | 12 | 3 | — | 8 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 4 | 31 | — | 7 |
| Joey Logano | 9 | 8 | — | 5 |
| Denny Hamlin | 11 | 6 | — | 5 |
| Kyle Larson | 13 | 7 | — | 4 |
| Ross Chastain | 8 | 10 | — | 4 |
| Kyle Busch | 7 | 30 | — | 4 |
| Austin Dillon | 10 | 19 | — | 1 |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 25 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.6 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 1 | +6.8 |
| 2 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 2 | +4.2 |
| 3 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 3 | +11.0 |
| 4 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 4 | +6.7 |
| 5 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 5 | +7.7 |
| 6 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 6 | +11.0 |
| 7 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 7 | +8.4 |
| 8 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 8 | +4.7 |
| 9 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 9 | +7.7 |
| 10 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 10 | +7.1 |
| 11 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 11 | +2.5 |
| 12 | William Byron | 10.7 | 12 | -1.3 |
| 14 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 14 | -2.8 |
| 15 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 15 | -3.1 |
| 16 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 16 | -1.5 |
| 17 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 17 | +5.9 |
| 18 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 18 | +1.9 |
| 19 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 19 | +3.2 |
| 20 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 20 | -5.3 |
| 24 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 24 | +0.8 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chase Elliott: has 16 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 7.9 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 13 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 13.8 avg finish, finishing P2 on the day.
- Daniel Suarez: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P14. Track history: 15 starts, 13.2 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 M&M's Fan Appreciation 400?
Chase Elliott won the 2022 M&M's Fan Appreciation 400 at Pocono Raceway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2022 M&M's Fan Appreciation 400 held?
The 2022 M&M's Fan Appreciation 400 was held at Pocono Raceway on July 24, 2022.