Ambetter 301
New Hampshire Motor Speedway — July 17, 2022
Christopher Bell
Winner
301
Laps
36
Entries
7
Leaders
Christopher Bell won the 2022 Ambetter 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 17, 2022, leading 42 of 301 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Bubba Wallace rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, July 17, 2022
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Christopher Bell |
| 2 | 23 | +21 | Chase Elliott |
| 3 | 8 | +5 | Bubba Wallace |
| 4 | 17 | +13 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 5 | 18 | +13 | Kevin Harvick |
| 6 | 11 | +5 | Denny Hamlin |
| 7 | 25 | +18 | Brad Keselowski |
| 8 | 12 | +4 | Ross Chastain |
| 9 | 36 | +27 | Daniel Suarez |
| 10 | — | — | Kurt Busch |
| 11 | 3 | -8 | William Byron |
| 12 | 5 | -7 | Kyle Busch |
| 13 | 6 | -7 | Austin Cindric |
| 14 | 7 | -7 | Kyle Larson |
| 15 | 19 | +4 | Chase Briscoe |
| 16 | — | — | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 17 | 27 | +10 | Chris Buescher |
| 18 | 9 | -9 | Ryan Blaney |
| 19 | 15 | -4 | Erik Jones |
| 20 | 14 | -6 | Justin Haley |
| 21 | — | — | Aric Almirola |
| 22 | — | — | Cole Custer |
| 23 | — | — | Todd Gilliland |
| 24 | 1 | -23 | Joey Logano |
| 25 | — | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 26 | 28 | +2 | Harrison Burton |
| 27 | — | — | Cody Ware |
| 28 | — | — | J.J. Yeley |
| 29 | — | — | Erik Jones |
| 30 | — | — | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 31 | — | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 32 | — | — | Harrison Burton |
| 33 | — | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 34 | — | — | Ty Gibbs |
| 35 | — | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 36 | — | — | Kevin Harvick |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Busch | 3 | 1 | — | 18 |
| William Byron | 1 | 5 | — | 16 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 5 | 2 | — | 15 |
| Christopher Bell | 4 | 6 | — | 12 |
| Ryan Blaney | 9 | 3 | — | 10 |
| Denny Hamlin | 2 | 14 | — | 9 |
| Joey Logano | 11 | 4 | — | 7 |
| Ross Chastain | 6 | 29 | — | 5 |
| Erik Jones | 8 | 9 | — | 5 |
| Daniel Suarez | 20 | 8 | — | 3 |
| Bubba Wallace | 10 | 15 | — | 1 |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 28 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 1 | +7.6 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 2 | +6.3 |
| 3 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 3 | +11.0 |
| 4 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 4 | +9.8 |
| 6 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 7 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 7 | +5.0 |
| 8 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 8 | +5.8 |
| 9 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 9 | +6.6 |
| 11 | William Byron | 10.3 | 11 | -0.7 |
| 12 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 12 | +3.6 |
| 13 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 13 | +4.0 |
| 14 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 14 | -5.4 |
| 15 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 15 | -2.4 |
| 16 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 16 | +2.3 |
| 17 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 17 | -6.7 |
| 18 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 18 | -11.2 |
| 19 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 19 | -1.3 |
| 20 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 20 | +1.2 |
| 22 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 22 | +1.0 |
| 23 | Todd Gilliland | 17.1 | 23 | -5.9 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Christopher Bell: has 11 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 4.2 avg finish (7 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 35 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 10.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P6 on the day.
- Bubba Wallace: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P14. Track history: 8 starts, 15.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 Ambetter 301?
Christopher Bell won the 2022 Ambetter 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2022 Ambetter 301 held?
The 2022 Ambetter 301 was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 17, 2022.