NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Playoff Race at Talladega
Talladega SuperspeedwayYour watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.
Your Drivers' Outlook
Historical Context
- Chase Elliott has 24 starts at Talladega Superspeedway with 2 wins and a 15.7 average finish.
- Ryan Blaney has 28 starts at Talladega Superspeedway with 3 wins and a 17.3 average finish.
- Chris Buescher has 24 starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 18.2 average finish.
Based on Truck Series results at Talladega Superspeedway from 1995-2026.
The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.
Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.
TV & Start Time
What channel is the NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Playoff Race at Talladega on?
The NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Playoff Race at Talladega airs on FS1 on Friday, October 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, broadcast from Talladega Superspeedway. Every 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series race airs on FS1, available through cable, satellite, and live-TV streaming services like YouTube TV, Hulu + Live TV, and fuboTV.
What time does the NASCAR Craftsman Truck race start today?
The NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Playoff Race at Talladega green flag is set for 4:00 PM ET on Friday, October 23, 2026, airing on FS1. All NASCAR start times are listed in Eastern Time.
NR-Rating Track Rankings
| # | Driver | Elo Rating | Last Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Elliott | 1519 | P4 |
| 2 | Chris Buescher | 1498 | P2 |
| 3 | Ryan Blaney | 1497 | P37 |
| 4 | Kyle Busch | 1496 | P10 |
| 5 | Tyler Reddick | 1496 | P14 |
| 6 | Daniel Suarez | 1495 | P12 |
| 7 | William Byron | 1494 | P35 |
| 8 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 1491 | P6 |
| 9 | Erik Jones | 1486 | P23 |
| 10 | Christopher Bell | 1485 | P17 |
NR-Rating Predictions
Last updated: Sun, Aug 16, 2026, 07:09 AM ET
| # | Driver | Exp. Finish | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Elliott Best in Field | 13.6 | 11.2% |
| 2 | Ryan Blaney | 10.4 | 11.0% |
| 3 | Chris Buescher | 13.6 | 10.4% |
| 4 | Tyler Reddick | 13.9 | 9.9% |
| 5 | William Byron | 13.9 | 8.9% |
| 6 | Christopher Bell | 15.1 | 7.8% |
| 7 | Daniel Suarez | 15.1 | 7.2% |
| 8 | Denny Hamlin | 15.1 | 6.6% |
| 9 | Ross Chastain | 16.0 | 5.3% |
| 10 | Erik Jones | 16.0 | 4.8% |
| 11 | Bubba Wallace | 16.9 | 4.1% |
| 12 | Alex Bowman | 17.4 | 3.9% |
| 13 | Carson Hocevar | 17.4 | 3.3% |
| 14 | Joey Logano | 18.5 | 3.2% |
| 15 | Brad Keselowski | 18.5 | 3.0% |
| 16 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18.5 | 3.0% |
| 17 | Austin Cindric | 19.4 | 3.0% |
| 18 | Ty Gibbs | 18.9 | 2.8% |
| 19 | Michael McDowell | 19.2 | 2.7% |
| 20 | Casey Mears | 20.0 | 2.4% |
| 21 | Jimmie Johnson | 20.0 | 2.3% |
| 22 | Kyle Larson | 20.1 | 1.6% |
| 23 | Chase Briscoe | 20.5 | 1.3% |
| 24 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.5 | 1.1% |
| 25 | Austin Dillon | 21.1 | 1.0% |
| 26 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 0.9% |
| 27 | A.J. Allmendinger | 22.9 | 0.9% |
| 28 | Kevin Magnussen | 22.8 | 0.9% |
| 29 | Katherine Legge | 22.8 | 0.9% |
| 30 | Ryan Preece | 21.1 | 0.9% |
| 31 | Todd Gilliland | 22.9 | 0.8% |
| 32 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 0.6% |
| 33 | Zane Smith | 23.4 | 0.6% |
| 34 | Shane van Gisbergen | 23.4 | 0.6% |
| 35 | Connor Zilisch | 23.4 | 0.5% |
| 36 | Riley Herbst | 24.0 | 0.4% |
| 37 | Noah Gragson | 25.2 | 0.4% |
| 38 | Cody Ware | 25.5 | 0.3% |
| 39 | Josh Berry | 24.0 | 0.3% |
| 40 | B.J. McLeod | 25.5 | 0.3% |
Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning, higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.
Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)
Prediction Scorecard
Anduril 250: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P12
(1/5 top-5 hits)
37% top-5 hit rate across 13 races
History at Talladega Superspeedway
Truck Series data from 1995-2026 (14 races)
Recent Results
All Results at This Track
Laps Led Leaders
| Driver | Total Laps Led |
|---|---|
| Grant Enfinger | 130 |
| Johnny Sauter | 95 |
| Matt Crafton | 60 |
| Ty Dillon | 51 |
| Christian Eckes | 47 |
Track Type Tendencies
Superspeedway races at Talladega Superspeedway are defined by pack racing and drafting. Results are less predictable than any other track type; the field stays tight and late-race wrecks reshape the outcome.
Manufacturer strategy and drafting alliances matter as much as raw speed. Longshot winners are more common here than anywhere on the schedule.
Fantasy
High laps-led totals at this track
Strong avg finish but no wins: lower ownership