NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Playoff Race at Talladega
Talladega SuperspeedwayYour watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.
Your Drivers' Outlook
Historical Context
- Chase Elliott has 24 starts at Talladega Superspeedway with 2 wins and a 15.7 average finish.
- Tyler Reddick has 19 starts at Talladega Superspeedway with 2 wins and a 15.4 average finish.
- Christopher Bell has 18 starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 16.2 average finish.
Based on Truck Series results at Talladega Superspeedway from 1995-2026.
The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.
Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.
TV & Start Time
What channel is the NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Playoff Race at Talladega on?
The NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Playoff Race at Talladega airs on FS1 on Friday, October 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, broadcast from Talladega Superspeedway. Every 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series race airs on FS1, available through cable, satellite, and live-TV streaming services like YouTube TV, Hulu + Live TV, and fuboTV.
What time does the NASCAR Craftsman Truck race start today?
The NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Playoff Race at Talladega green flag is set for 4:00 PM ET on Friday, October 23, 2026, airing on FS1. All NASCAR start times are listed in Eastern Time.
NR-Rating Track Rankings
| # | Driver | Elo Rating | Last Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Elliott | | P4 |
| 2 | Tyler Reddick | | P14 |
| 3 | Daniel Suarez | | P12 |
| 4 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | | P6 |
| 5 | Kyle Busch | | P10 |
| 6 | William Byron | | P35 |
| 7 | Alex Bowman | | P3 |
| 8 | Ryan Blaney | | P37 |
| 9 | Christopher Bell | | P17 |
| 10 | Chris Buescher | | P2 |
NR-Rating Predictions
Last updated: Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 07:16 AM ET
| # | Driver | Exp. Finish | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Elliott Best in Field | 13.6 | 11.2% |
| 2 | Tyler Reddick | 10.4 | 11.0% |
| 3 | Christopher Bell | 13.6 | 10.4% |
| 4 | Ryan Blaney | 13.9 | 9.9% |
| 5 | Daniel Suarez | 13.9 | 8.9% |
| 6 | William Byron | 15.1 | 7.8% |
| 7 | Denny Hamlin | 15.1 | 7.2% |
| 8 | Alex Bowman | 16.0 | 5.8% |
| 9 | Chris Buescher | 16.0 | 5.4% |
| 10 | Bubba Wallace | 16.0 | 4.5% |
| 11 | Austin Cindric | 16.0 | 4.5% |
| 12 | Ross Chastain | 17.4 | 3.7% |
| 13 | Michael McDowell | 18.5 | 3.1% |
| 14 | Joey Logano | 18.5 | 3.1% |
| 15 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18.5 | 3.1% |
| 16 | Jimmie Johnson | 18.9 | 3.1% |
| 17 | Brad Keselowski | 17.4 | 3.0% |
| 18 | Ryan Preece | 19.4 | 2.9% |
| 19 | Erik Jones | 20.0 | 2.3% |
| 20 | Ty Gibbs | 20.0 | 2.2% |
| 21 | Kyle Larson | 20.1 | 2.1% |
| 22 | Carson Hocevar | 20.1 | 1.8% |
| 23 | Austin Dillon | 20.5 | 1.4% |
| 24 | Chase Briscoe | 20.5 | 1.2% |
| 25 | John Hunter Nemechek | 21.1 | 1.0% |
| 26 | Todd Gilliland | 22.9 | 0.9% |
| 27 | Casey Mears | 21.7 | 0.9% |
| 28 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 0.9% |
| 29 | Cole Custer | 21.1 | 0.9% |
| 30 | Kevin Magnussen | 22.8 | 0.9% |
| 31 | Katherine Legge | 22.8 | 0.9% |
| 32 | Josh Berry | 23.7 | 0.6% |
| 33 | Zane Smith | 23.4 | 0.5% |
| 34 | Shane van Gisbergen | 23.4 | 0.4% |
| 35 | Connor Zilisch | 24.0 | 0.4% |
| 36 | A.J. Allmendinger | 23.3 | 0.4% |
| 37 | Noah Gragson | 25.5 | 0.3% |
| 38 | B.J. McLeod | 25.5 | 0.3% |
| 39 | Riley Herbst | 25.5 | 0.3% |
| 40 | Cody Ware | 25.5 | 0.3% |
Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning, higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.
Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)
Prediction Scorecard
Enjoy Illinois 300: Model picked Denny Hamlin at P1 → Actual P9
(0/5 top-5 hits)
35% top-5 hit rate across 8 races
History at Talladega Superspeedway
Truck Series data from 1995-2026 (14 races)
Recent Results
All Results at This Track
Laps Led Leaders
| Driver | Total Laps Led |
|---|---|
| Grant Enfinger | 130 |
| Johnny Sauter | 95 |
| Matt Crafton | 60 |
| Ty Dillon | 51 |
| Christian Eckes | 47 |
Track Type Tendencies
Superspeedway races at Talladega Superspeedway are defined by pack racing and drafting. Results are less predictable than any other track type; the field stays tight and late-race wrecks reshape the outcome.
Manufacturer strategy and drafting alliances matter as much as raw speed. Longshot winners are more common here than anywhere on the schedule.
Fantasy
High laps-led totals at this track
Strong avg finish but no wins: lower ownership