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NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Playoff Race at Talladega

Talladega Superspeedway
Laps 85 Distance 226 mi Type superspeedway Coverage FS1 · 4:00 PM ET
2.66
MI
asphalt
Surface
Green Flag In
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The Hook

Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.

Historical Context

  • Chase Elliott has 24 starts at Talladega Superspeedway with 2 wins and a 15.7 average finish.
  • Tyler Reddick has 19 starts at Talladega Superspeedway with 2 wins and a 15.4 average finish.
  • Christopher Bell has 18 starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 16.2 average finish.

Based on Truck Series results at Talladega Superspeedway from 1995-2026.

The Story

The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.

The Data

Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.

TV & Start Time

What channel is the NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Playoff Race at Talladega on?

The NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Playoff Race at Talladega airs on FS1 on Friday, October 23, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET, broadcast from Talladega Superspeedway. Every 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series race airs on FS1, available through cable, satellite, and live-TV streaming services like YouTube TV, Hulu + Live TV, and fuboTV.

What time does the NASCAR Craftsman Truck race start today?

The NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Playoff Race at Talladega green flag is set for 4:00 PM ET on Friday, October 23, 2026, airing on FS1. All NASCAR start times are listed in Eastern Time.

NR-Rating Track Rankings

NR-Rating Track Rankings
# Driver Elo Rating Last Finish
1 Chase Elliott
1515
P4
2 Tyler Reddick
1506
P14
3 Daniel Suarez
1506
P12
4 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
1500
P6
5 Kyle Busch
1496
P10
6 William Byron
1491
P35
7 Alex Bowman
1491
P3
8 Ryan Blaney
1487
P37
9 Christopher Bell
1486
P17
10 Chris Buescher
1483
P2
NR-Rating: Elo-based rating from the NR-Rating prediction model. Higher = stronger at this track type. = Previous winner at this track

NR-Rating Predictions

Last updated: Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 07:16 AM ET

# Driver Exp. Finish Win %
1 Chase Elliott Best in Field 13.6 11.2%
2 Tyler Reddick 10.4 11.0%
3 Christopher Bell 13.6 10.4%
4 Ryan Blaney 13.9 9.9%
5 Daniel Suarez 13.9 8.9%
6 William Byron 15.1 7.8%
7 Denny Hamlin 15.1 7.2%
8 Alex Bowman 16.0 5.8%
9 Chris Buescher 16.0 5.4%
10 Bubba Wallace 16.0 4.5%
11 Austin Cindric 16.0 4.5%
12 Ross Chastain 17.4 3.7%
13 Michael McDowell 18.5 3.1%
14 Joey Logano 18.5 3.1%
15 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 18.5 3.1%
16 Jimmie Johnson 18.9 3.1%
17 Brad Keselowski 17.4 3.0%
18 Ryan Preece 19.4 2.9%
19 Erik Jones 20.0 2.3%
20 Ty Gibbs 20.0 2.2%
21 Kyle Larson 20.1 2.1%
22 Carson Hocevar 20.1 1.8%
23 Austin Dillon 20.5 1.4%
24 Chase Briscoe 20.5 1.2%
25 John Hunter Nemechek 21.1 1.0%
26 Todd Gilliland 22.9 0.9%
27 Casey Mears 21.7 0.9%
28 Ty Dillon 22.9 0.9%
29 Cole Custer 21.1 0.9%
30 Kevin Magnussen 22.8 0.9%
31 Katherine Legge 22.8 0.9%
32 Josh Berry 23.7 0.6%
33 Zane Smith 23.4 0.5%
34 Shane van Gisbergen 23.4 0.4%
35 Connor Zilisch 24.0 0.4%
36 A.J. Allmendinger 23.3 0.4%
37 Noah Gragson 25.5 0.3%
38 B.J. McLeod 25.5 0.3%
39 Riley Herbst 25.5 0.3%
40 Cody Ware 25.5 0.3%

Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning, higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.

Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)

Prediction Scorecard

Enjoy Illinois 300: Model picked Denny Hamlin at P1 → Actual P9

(0/5 top-5 hits)

35% top-5 hit rate across 8 races

Track Type Tendencies

superspeedway

Superspeedway races at Talladega Superspeedway are defined by pack racing and drafting. Results are less predictable than any other track type; the field stays tight and late-race wrecks reshape the outcome.

Manufacturer strategy and drafting alliances matter as much as raw speed. Longshot winners are more common here than anywhere on the schedule.

Fantasy

Dominator Plays
Grant Enfinger 130 laps led
Johnny Sauter 95 laps led
Matt Crafton 60 laps led

High laps-led totals at this track

Consistency Plays
Daniel Dye 4.50 avg
Ty Dillon 9.00 avg
Taylor Gray 10.00 avg

50%+ top-5 rate at this track

Value Picks
Daniel Dye 4.50 avg, 0 wins
Christopher Bell 7.00 avg, 0 wins
Rajah Caruth 8.33 avg, 0 wins

Strong avg finish but no wins: lower ownership

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