Allstate 400 at the Brickyard

Indianapolis Motor Speedway — July 27, 2008

Jimmie Johnson

Winner

160

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Jimmie Johnson won the 2008 Allstate 400 at the Brickyard at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on July 27, 2008, leading 71 of 160 laps. Carl Edwards finished second; Denny Hamlin rounded out the podium. The race featured 16 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Sunday, July 27, 2008

Track

Indianapolis Motor Speedway

Season

2008

Winner

Jimmie Johnson

Leaders

16 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	1	—	Jimmie Johnson		160	—	Running	71	195
2	9	+7	Carl Edwards		160	—	Running	4	175
3	23	+20	Denny Hamlin		160	—	Running	26	170
4	6	+2	Elliott Sadler	Dodge	160	—	Running	5	165
5	5	—	Jeff Gordon		160	—	Running	7	160
6	8	+2	Jamie McMurray		160	—	Running	—	150
7	4	-3	Kasey Kahne	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	146
8	12	+4	Greg Biffle		160	—	Running	—	142
9	32	+23	Jeff Burton		160	—	Running	10	143
10	26	+16	A.J. Allmendinger		160	—	Running	4	139
11	2	-9	Mark Martin		160	—	Running	—	130
12	11	-1	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.		160	—	Running	8	132
13	3	-10	Ryan Newman	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	124
14	16	+2	David Ragan		160	—	Running	—	121
15	19	+4	Kyle Busch		160	—	Running	14	123
16	27	+11	Bobby Labonte	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	115
17	22	+5	Reed Sorenson	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	112
18	15	-3	Patrick Carpentier	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	109
19	40	+21	Clint Bowyer		160	—	Running	—	106
20	20	—	David Gilliland		160	—	Running	—	103
21	38	+17	Sam Hornish Jr.	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	100
22	24	+2	Marcos Ambrose		160	—	Running	—	97
23	14	-9	Tony Stewart		160	—	Running	—	94
24	25	+1	Martin Truex, Jr.		160	—	Running	3	96
25	35	+10	Scott Riggs		160	—	Running	1	93
26	31	+5	Casey Mears		160	—	Running	—	85
27	43	+16	Terry Labonte	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	82
28	39	+11	J.J. Yeley		160	—	Running	—	79
29	36	+7	Joe Nemechek		160	—	Running	—	76
30	33	+3	David Reutimann		160	—	Running	—	73
31	42	+11	Regan Smith		160	—	Running	1	75
32	21	-11	Jason Leffler		160	—	Running	—	67
33	29	-4	Robby Gordon	Dodge	160	—	Running	—	64
34	30	-4	Michael McDowell		160	—	Running	1	66
35	41	+6	Dave Blaney		160	—	Running	1	63
36	28	-8	Travis Kvapil		160	—	Running	3	60
37	18	-19	Kevin Harvick		148	—	Running	—	52
38	10	-28	Matt Kenseth		144	—	Running	—	49
39	13	-26	Juan Pablo Montoya	Dodge	124	—	DNF	—	46
40	7	-33	Kurt Busch	Dodge	119	—	DNF	—	43
41	37	-4	Paul Menard		118	—	DNF	—	40
42	17	-25	Brian Vickers		93	—	DNF	1	42
43	34	-9	Michael Waltrip		91	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.9 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Jimmie Johnson	19.9	1	+18.9	Moderate
3	Denny Hamlin	8.2	3	+5.2	High Confidence
10	A.J. Allmendinger	18.3	10	+8.3	Moderate
15	Kyle Busch	16.9	15	+1.9	Coinflip
24	Martin Truex, Jr.	15.4	24	-8.6	Coinflip
26	Casey Mears	17.0	26	-9.0	Coinflip
28	J.J. Yeley	28.6	28	+0.6	High Confidence
34	Michael McDowell	15.4	34	-18.6	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Jimmie Johnson: has 16 career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 14.5 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 19 career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 14.5 avg finish, finishing P3 on the day.

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