NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at New Hampshire

New Hampshire Motor Speedway — June 29, 2008

Kurt Busch

Winner

284

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Kurt Busch won the 2008 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at New Hampshire at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on June 29, 2008, leading 10 of 284 laps. Michael Waltrip finished second; J.J. Yeley rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Sunday, June 29, 2008

Track

New Hampshire Motor Speedway

Season

2008

Winner

Kurt Busch

Leaders

8 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	26	+25	Kurt Busch	Dodge	284	—	Running	10	190
2	36	+34	Michael Waltrip		284	—	Running	—	170
3	30	+27	J.J. Yeley		284	—	Running	—	165
4	8	+4	Martin Truex, Jr.		284	—	Running	—	160
5	11	+6	Elliott Sadler	Dodge	284	—	Running	—	155
6	6	—	Reed Sorenson	Dodge	284	—	Running	—	150
7	24	+17	Casey Mears		284	—	Running	53	151
8	12	+4	Denny Hamlin		284	—	Running	—	142
9	23	+14	Jimmie Johnson		284	—	Running	—	138
10	2	-8	Bobby Labonte	Dodge	284	—	Running	—	134
11	19	+8	Jeff Gordon		284	—	Running	—	130
12	31	+19	Jeff Burton		284	—	Running	—	127
13	28	+15	Tony Stewart		284	—	Running	132	134
14	3	-11	Kevin Harvick		284	—	Running	54	126
15	16	+1	Ryan Newman	Dodge	284	—	Running	—	118
16	40	+24	Brian Vickers		284	—	Running	—	115
17	17	—	Carl Edwards		284	—	Running	—	112
18	9	-9	Matt Kenseth		284	—	Running	—	109
19	29	+10	David Reutimann		284	—	Running	—	106
20	43	+23	Joe Nemechek		284	—	Running	1	108
21	15	-6	Greg Biffle		284	—	Running	—	100
22	18	-4	Clint Bowyer		284	—	Running	—	97
23	39	+16	Aric Almirola		284	—	Running	—	94
24	5	-19	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.		284	—	Running	29	96
25	27	+2	Kyle Busch		284	—	Running	—	88
26	22	-4	Robby Gordon	Dodge	284	—	Running	1	90
27	25	-2	Regan Smith		283	—	Running	—	82
28	33	+5	David Gilliland		283	—	Running	—	79
29	42	+13	Paul Menard		282	—	Running	—	76
30	14	-16	Kasey Kahne	Dodge	282	—	Running	—	73
31	1	-30	Patrick Carpentier	Dodge	282	—	Running	4	75
32	32	—	Juan Pablo Montoya	Dodge	282	—	Running	—	67
33	41	+8	Dave Blaney		281	—	Running	—	64
34	4	-30	Scott Riggs		281	—	Running	—	61
35	34	-1	Terry Labonte	Dodge	281	—	Running	—	58
36	21	-15	Travis Kvapil		281	—	Running	—	55
37	37	—	Johnny Sauter		280	—	Running	—	52
38	7	-31	Dario Franchitti	Dodge	280	—	Running	—	49
39	20	-19	Sam Hornish Jr.	Dodge	280	—	Running	—	46
40	35	-5	David Ragan		272	—	Running	—	43
41	13	-28	Jamie McMurray		270	—	Running	—	40
42	38	-4	Michael McDowell		209	—	DNF	—	37
43	10	-33	A.J. Allmendinger		202	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
3	J.J. Yeley	27.3	3	+24.3	High Confidence
4	Martin Truex, Jr.	14.0	4	+10.0	Coinflip
7	Casey Mears	17.7	7	+10.7	Moderate
8	Denny Hamlin	8.6	8	+0.6	Moderate
9	Jimmie Johnson	18.3	9	+9.3	Moderate
14	Kevin Harvick	10.3	14	-3.7	Moderate
15	Ryan Newman	23.1	15	+8.1	High Confidence
23	Aric Almirola	15.0	23	-8.0	Coinflip
25	Kyle Busch	14.0	25	-11.0	Coinflip
42	Michael McDowell	14.0	42	-28.0	Coinflip
43	A.J. Allmendinger	19.0	43	-24.0	Moderate

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Kurt Busch: has 26 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 14.7 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 35 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 10.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P8 on the day.
J.J. Yeley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P27. Track history: 23 starts, 26.0 avg finish.

Track Preview →