NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas

Kansas Speedway — May 10, 2014

Jeff Gordon
Winner
267
Laps
43
Entries
10
Leaders

Jeff Gordon won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway on May 10, 2014, leading 9 of 267 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Kasey Kahne rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 10, 2014
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 13 +12 Jeff Gordon
2 1 -1 Kevin Harvick
3 17 +14 Kasey Kahne
4 2 -2 Joey Logano
5 22 +17 Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
6 4 -2 Carl Edwards
7 9 +2 Danica Patrick
8 12 +4 Aric Almirola
9 14 +5 Jimmie Johnson
10 28 +18 Matt Kenseth
11 7 -4 Ryan Newman
12 5 -7 Kyle Larson
13 3 -10 Brad Keselowski
14 15 +1 Brian Vickers
15 24 +9 Kyle Busch
16 10 -6 Greg Biffle
17 16 -1 Paul Menard
18 30 +12 Denny Hamlin
19 19 Austin Dillon
20 8 -12 Tony Stewart
21 26 +5 Martin Truex, Jr.
22 20 -2 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
23 23 Clint Bowyer
24 25 +1 Marcos Ambrose
25 34 +9 Michael Annett
26 27 +1 Casey Mears
27 21 -6 Ryan Blaney
28 36 +8 Cole Whitt
29 6 -23 Kurt Busch
30 29 -1 A.J. Allmendinger
31 43 +12 Joe Nemechek
32 37 +5 Reed Sorenson
33 32 -1 Josh Wise
34 41 +7 Travis Kvapil
35 33 -2 Alex Bowman
36 18 -18 Justin Allgaier
37 39 +2 David Gilliland
38 38 David Ragan
39 11 -28 Jamie McMurray
40 42 +2 Timmy Hill
41 35 -6 J.J. Yeley
42 40 -2 Landon Cassill
43 31 -12 Ryan Truex
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
4 Joey Logano 14.7 4 +10.7
9 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 9 +10.9
12 Kyle Larson 12.7 12 +0.7
13 Brad Keselowski 11.2 13 -1.8
15 Kyle Busch 17.0 15 +2.0
18 Denny Hamlin 8.2 18 -9.8
19 Austin Dillon 17.1 19 -1.9
21 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 21 -5.6
22 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 22 -2.1
26 Casey Mears 16.9 26 -9.1
27 Ryan Blaney 9.2 27 -17.8
30 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 30 -11.7
35 Alex Bowman 13.5 35 -21.5
36 Justin Allgaier 18.3 36 -17.7
40 Timmy Hill 23.9 40 -16.1
41 J.J. Yeley 28.8 41 -12.2
43 Ryan Truex 15.4 43 -27.6

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Jeff Gordon: has 20 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 10.0 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 42 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.9 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P18 on the day.
  • Jimmie Johnson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P9 vs predicted P20. Track history: 26 starts, 9.2 avg finish.

Explore More

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas?
Jeff Gordon won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas held?
The 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas was held at Kansas Speedway on May 10, 2014.