NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at New Hampshire
New Hampshire Motor Speedway — July 13, 2014
Brad Keselowski
Winner
305
Laps
43
Entries
9
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at New Hampshire at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 13, 2014, leading 138 of 305 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, July 13, 2014
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +6 | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Kyle Busch |
| 3 | 13 | +10 | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 15 | +11 | Matt Kenseth |
| 5 | 24 | +19 | Ryan Newman |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Clint Bowyer |
| 7 | 4 | -3 | Tony Stewart |
| 8 | 3 | -5 | Denny Hamlin |
| 9 | 22 | +13 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 10 | 28 | +18 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 11 | 10 | -1 | Kasey Kahne |
| 12 | 9 | -3 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 13 | 14 | +1 | Carl Edwards |
| 14 | 23 | +9 | Austin Dillon |
| 15 | 27 | +12 | Greg Biffle |
| 16 | 5 | -11 | Jamie McMurray |
| 17 | 18 | +1 | Kurt Busch |
| 18 | 20 | +2 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 19 | 16 | -3 | Paul Menard |
| 20 | 30 | +10 | Jeff Burton |
| 21 | 17 | -4 | Brian Vickers |
| 22 | 29 | +7 | Danica Patrick |
| 23 | 19 | -4 | Aric Almirola |
| 24 | 33 | +9 | David Gilliland |
| 25 | 26 | +1 | David Ragan |
| 26 | 11 | -15 | Jeff Gordon |
| 27 | 21 | -6 | Marcos Ambrose |
| 28 | 35 | +7 | Cole Whitt |
| 29 | 32 | +3 | Josh Wise |
| 30 | 12 | -18 | Kevin Harvick |
| 31 | 36 | +5 | Alex Bowman |
| 32 | 39 | +7 | Michael Annett |
| 33 | 37 | +4 | Reed Sorenson |
| 34 | 34 | — | Landon Cassill |
| 35 | 40 | +5 | Eddie MacDonald |
| 36 | 38 | +2 | Ryan Truex |
| 37 | 25 | -12 | Justin Allgaier |
| 38 | 31 | -7 | Casey Mears |
| 39 | 43 | +4 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 40 | 6 | -34 | Joey Logano |
| 41 | 42 | +1 | Timmy Hill |
| 42 | 2 | -40 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 43 | 41 | -2 | Mike Bliss |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.9 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 1 | +11.0 |
| 2 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 2 | +13.6 |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 3 | +5.6 |
| 8 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 8 | -1.2 |
| 9 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 9 | +11.1 |
| 12 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 12 | +1.8 |
| 14 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 14 | +3.0 |
| 18 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 18 | +0.3 |
| 31 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 31 | -17.0 |
| 36 | Ryan Truex | 15.6 | 36 | -20.4 |
| 37 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 37 | -19.3 |
| 38 | Casey Mears | 18.0 | 38 | -20.0 |
| 40 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 40 | -27.9 |
| 41 | Timmy Hill | 24.3 | 41 | -16.7 |
| 42 | Jimmie Johnson | 17.7 | 42 | -24.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 34 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 9.4 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 35 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 10.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P8 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P16. Track history: 44 starts, 11.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at New Hampshire?
Brad Keselowski won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at New Hampshire at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at New Hampshire held?
The 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at New Hampshire was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 13, 2014.