Coca-Cola 600

Charlotte Motor Speedway, May 28, 2017

Austin Dillon
Winner
400
Laps
40
Entries
10
Leaders

Austin Dillon won the 2017 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 28, 2017, leading 2 of 400 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Martin Truex, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 28, 2017
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 22 +21 Austin Dillon
2 2 Kyle Busch
3 8 +5 Martin Truex, Jr.
4 4 Matt Kenseth
5 6 +1 Denny Hamlin
6 12 +6 Kurt Busch
7 5 -2 Erik Jones
8 1 -7 Kevin Harvick
9 17 +8 Ryan Newman
10 19 +9 Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
11 20 +9 Daniel Suarez
12 11 -1 Jamie McMurray
13 16 +3 Paul Menard
14 9 -5 Clint Bowyer
15 13 -2 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
16 18 +2 Trevor Bayne
17 14 -3 Jimmie Johnson
18 26 +8 A.J. Allmendinger
19 21 +2 Michael McDowell
20 29 +9 Chris Buescher
21 23 +2 Joey Logano
22 25 +3 Regan Smith
23 28 +5 David Ragan
24 7 -17 Ryan Blaney
25 15 -10 Danica Patrick
26 33 +7 J.J. Yeley
27 32 +5 Gray Gaulding
28 31 +3 Landon Cassill
29 36 +7 Timmy Hill
30 35 +5 Reed Sorenson
31 37 +6 Derrike Cope
32 40 +8 Corey LaJoie
33 39 +6 Kyle Larson
34 34 Cole Whitt
35 24 -11 Kasey Kahne
36 27 -9 Ty Dillon
37 30 -7 Matt DiBenedetto
38 3 -35 Chase Elliott
39 10 -29 Brad Keselowski
40 38 -2 Jeffrey Earnhardt
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 19 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.0 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Austin Dillon 19.9 1 +18.9
3 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 3 +12.4
5 Denny Hamlin 6.2 5 +1.2
7 Erik Jones 14.7 7 +7.7
11 Daniel Suarez 12.7 11 +1.7
15 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 15 +4.9
17 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 17 +2.9
18 A.J. Allmendinger 17.1 18 -0.9
19 Michael McDowell 16.9 19 -2.1
20 Chris Buescher 9.2 20 -10.8
21 Joey Logano 11.9 21 -9.1
24 Ryan Blaney 8.2 24 -15.8
26 J.J. Yeley 28.6 26 +2.6
29 Timmy Hill 23.9 29 -5.1
32 Corey LaJoie 22.2 32 -9.8
33 Kyle Larson 13.1 33 -19.9
36 Ty Dillon 22.9 36 -13.1
38 Chase Elliott 10.1 38 -27.9
39 Brad Keselowski 15.4 39 -23.6

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Austin Dillon: has 33 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 14.7 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 40 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.5 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P5 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2017 Coca-Cola 600?
Austin Dillon won the 2017 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Richard Childress Racing.
Where was the 2017 Coca-Cola 600 held?
The 2017 Coca-Cola 600 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 28, 2017.